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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

11:45 AM | *Showers and possible strong-to-severe storms on Friday/Friday night in the Mid-Atlantic region…holiday weekend starts off shaky, but should end well*

Paul Dorian

A strong frontal system will produce another round of showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday and some of the storms can be on the strong-to-severe side. The upper-level support for this system will be slow-moving and could result in some residual shower activity on Saturday in the Mid-Atlantic region as it drifts overhead. This upper-level low will exit off the coast on Sunday resulting in improvement and then the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine and highs in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | *Light onshore flow continues with high pressure to the northeast*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to produce a low-level flow of air today out of the east and this will keep a cap on temperatures despite the return of some sunshine. It’ll turn warmer and more humid by late in the work week ahead of the next cold front and that system is likely to bring us another round of showers and thunderstorms…some of those storms later Friday can be on the strong side. The upper-level system associated with the cold front will linger for awhile this weekend and showers will remain a threat on Sunday. Conditions should improve on Sunday and then Monday, Memorial Day, is likely to turn out mainly sunny and quite warm with highs in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | *Easterly flow keeps it cooler-than-normal around here next couple of days*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will pull away from the region this morning, but the day will still feature plenty of clouds and temperatures a bit below-normal for late May. In fact, it stays a bit on the cool side of normal for the next few days with an easterly flow of air putting a cap on temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic region. It does turn warmer on Friday ahead of the next cold front which could bring with it another round of showers and strong thunderstorms at the end of the work week. There is a chance that the late week frontal passage paves the way for the bulk of the Memorial Day weekend to feature decent weather, but still a few questions have to be ironed out.

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7:00 AM | *What a difference a frontal passage makes...cooler, less humid air mass has arrived in the region*

Paul Dorian

A much different air mass has pushed into the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of a strong cold front late yesterday that included some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity. Today will be cooler and noticeably less humid than yesterday and the overall cool pattern will last through the week. Low pressure to our south will approach the area tonight and showers are possible on Monday night and can’t be ruled out into mid-week. Another strong cold front will impact the region by the end of the work week leading into the Memorial Day weekend.

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7:00 AM | *PM showers and storms possible on Friday...warmest weather so far coming for Saturday with the 90's likely*

Paul Dorian

The weather will turn warmer and more humid later today following the passage of a warm front and the warm-up will intensify dramatically on Saturday. Temperatures on Friday will reach the 70’s and then likely surge to the low-to-mid 90’s on Saturday afternoon. A cold front will push towards the eastern seaboard by late Sunday and this is likely to result in late day/nighttime showers and thunderstorms that can hang around into the early part of next week.

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12:20 PM | *Downpours later tonight in the transition to the warmest weather so far this season in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

The hottest weather of the spring so far is on the way for the Mid-Atlantic region with Friday, Saturday and Sunday promising to be noticeably different than what we’ve experienced in recent days. The transition to this uncomfortable weather pattern will actually begin later tonight with the arrival of low pressure and its associated warm front and there can be downpours in the Mid-Atlantic region along with embedded thunderstorms. Following the passage of the warm front, it’ll turn noticeably warmer and more humid later Thursday and the warm up will intensify on Friday and likely peak on Saturday afternoon with temperatures well up in the 90’s in many locations. A cool front closes in on the eastern seaboard late in the weekend bringing with it a renewed chance of showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | **Another nice day, but a big warm up is coming for Friday and it'll intensify dramatically on Saturday**

Paul Dorian

A very comfortable air mass will stick around for another day in the Mid-Atlantic region with pleasant temperatures and low humidity levels; however, there are big changes on the way. A warm front will work its way through the region during the next 24 hours or so bringing with it some shower and thunderstorms and some of the rain can be heavy at times later tonight into early Thursday. Following the passage of the warm front, the hottest weather so far this season will push into the area for Friday and Saturday with highs of 90+ degrees on the table for the first half of the weekend. Another cold front will arrive later Sunday - likely with afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms – and its passage will usher in cooler air once again for the eastern states by the early part of next week.

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9:00 AM | *An early hurricane threat for the Gulf of Mexico region...this threat comes despite more cold air outbreaks for the US and even significant accumulating snow in the Rockies*

Paul Dorian

There are still cold air outbreaks destined to push into the US from Canada as we progress through the second half of May and even accumulating snow for the Rockies, but that doesn’t mean we can’t have a threat of a hurricane. In fact, there are signs that the atmosphere will become supportive of a tropical storm or hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico region later this month or early in June in what is likely to be an active season for the Atlantic Basin.

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7:00 AM | *Much more comfortable air mass next couple of days...hottest weather so far on Friday and Saturday*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front passed through the region late yesterday and its passage has ushered in a much different air mass with noticeably less humidity and very comfortable temperatures. There will be plenty of sunshine in the wake of the frontal passage both today and on Wednesday to go along with the pleasant conditions. Another disturbance could throw some shower activity our way on Wednesday night and Thursday and then the hottest weather so far is destined to arrive for Friday and Saturday. Another cold front approaches late Sunday and it should bring more showers and thunderstorms to the Mid-Atlantic region with cooler air to follow for early next week.

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11:45 AM | ***Severe thunderstorm threat this afternoon and evening throughout the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

There is a severe thunderstorm threat in the Mid-Atlantic region for this afternoon and evening as a combination of ingredients will come together including the arrival of a strong cold front, high humidity and a vigorous disturbance in the upper atmosphere. The threat of severe weather includes the possibility of damaging wind gusts, hail and even isolated tornadoes from mid-day into the evening. Following the passage of the strong cold front, a much different air mass will push into the Mid-Atlantic for Tuesday and Wednesday with noticeably lower humidity and comfortable temperatures.

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