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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | *Coolest air mass so far this season for the late week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will remain in control of the weather for today, but a strong cold front will approach in the overnight hours and work its way through the region on Thursday. There can be a few showers and thunderstorms later tonight into Thursday and then the passage of this front will usher in the coolest air mass so far this season. Temperatures late tomorrow night could bottom out near 50 degrees and then are likely to hold in the 60’s on Friday. It remains cool on Saturday and the weekend will end quite comfortable on Sunday with a bit of a warm up.

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11:20 AM | **The latest on “major” Hurricane Fiona and a look ahead to the next tropical threat**

Paul Dorian

After pounding Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic on Monday, Hurricane Fiona has intensified into the season’s first “major” hurricane with category 3 classification and can attain category 4 status over the next few days as it gradually turns to the northeast. On this track, Hurricane Fiona will come close to Bermuda by early Friday and become increasingly influenced by an amplifying upper-level ridge over the northeastern US. This upper-level trough will result in the coolest air mass of the season so far in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US and ultimately could cause Fiona to pull back towards the Canadian Maritime Provinces this weekend with the potential of a direct impact. Meanwhile, another tropical system is organizing east of the Windward Islands and it has a chance of intensifying over the warm Caribbean Sea during the next several days and ultimately, could become a threat to the Gulf of Mexico region.

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*Passage of a strong cool front early Thursday paves the way for the coolest air mass so far this season by week's end*

Paul Dorian

A weak cool front passed through the region last night and high pressure will take control of the weather for today and Wednesday. A strong cold front will pass through early Thursday – likely with showers and a thunderstorm – and its passage will usher in the coolest air mass of the season so far this season for the Mid-Atlantic region. It’ll turn breezy and cooler by Friday which is destined to be the coolest day in this late week cool air outbreak with highs confined to the 60’s and there will likely be a stiff breeze as well.

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10:40 AM | **Fiona likely to become a “major” while on its “staying out-to-sea” track…impressive late week cool shot in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US plays a role**

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Fiona is crossing over the eastern side of Hispaniola this morning and is pounding away at the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico with heavy rainfall, flash flooding and powerful winds. After moving away from land, Fiona will gradually make a turn during the next few days from its current northwest movement to north and then to the northeast ahead of an amplifying upper-level trough of low pressure that will build over the northeastern part of the nation. Fiona is likely to become the season’s first “major” hurricane during the next couple of days while out over the warm waters of the western Atlantic Ocean. The upper-level trough that will intensify over the northeastern states will help to keep Fiona away from the US east coast and will result in an outbreak of cool air late this week in the Great Lakes/Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US - the coolest air mass so far this season.

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2:00 PM | **Tropical Storm Fiona to impact Caribbean islands this weekend…differing storm tracks thereafter are discussed with the most likely scenario in my opinion**

Paul Dorian

We have reached the mid-point of September and this is climatologically-speaking right around the peak time of the Atlantic Basin tropical season. True to form, there is a now a tropical storm named “Fiona” over the central Atlantic and it is likely to impact the Caribbean islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola later this weekend. Beyond that, it is somewhat unclear as to where Fiona will travel with one scenario featuring a continued movement to the west and towards the Gulf of Mexico and a second possibility with a “curvature to the north” over the Bahamas and then the western Atlantic off the eastern seaboard.

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7:00 AM | *Coolest night so far this season is on the way*

Paul Dorian

A secondary cold front passed through the region last night and its passage has ushered in a refreshing air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region with a touch of fall for the next couple of days. In fact, tonight should be the coolest so far this season with late night lows way down in the 50’s in most spots. High pressure will stay in control this weekend and there will be a warming trend, but temperatures will still be rather comfortable with manageable humidity levels.

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7:00 AM | *A secondary cool front passes through this evening and ushers in a refreshing air mass for Thursday and Friday*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the region on Tuesday and a secondary cool front will come through tonight (without any precipitation) and it will set the stage for a refreshing few days in the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures today can climb to near 80 degrees for afternoon highs and then should be confined to the 70’s on Thursday and Friday and there will be a refreshing breeze as well. High pressure will stay in control through the reminder of the week and quite likely right through the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Cold front works its way through the region today...sets us up for a nice Wednesday, Thursday and Friday and likely the weekend as well*

Paul Dorian

A cold front will slide across the region today and it’ll usher in a refreshing air mass for the Mid-Atlantic region with lowering humidity and a crisp fall-like night is on the way. High pressure will control the weather on Wednesday and then a secondary (and dry) cool front pushes through on Wednesday night. The remainder of the week looks quite nice with high pressure remaining in control and it could very well stick around right through the upcoming weekend.

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