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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | **Strong low pressure heads towards the Great Lakes...secondary storm to form off the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline**

Paul Dorian

Today will start off quiet, but that’ll change pretty dramatically by day’s end with a potent storm on the way. Strong low pressure will push towards the Great Lakes today and then grind to a halt, transfer its energy to a secondary system off the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline.  The end result around here will be occasional rain from later this afternoon into early Saturday and sleet and snow can mix in at times. In addition, the winds will pick up in intensity and the unstable atmosphere can generate a thunderstorm or two in the region tonight as the secondary low intensifies off the coast. High pressure takes control of the weather in the area later this weekend and sticks around early next week. 

Looking ahead, the overall weather pattern across much of the nation will turn colder later next week and beyond due in part to impact from a stratospheric warming event and high-latitude blocking. This colder pattern is quite likely to result in some snow opportunities for the Mid-Atlantic region.

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2:00 PM | ***Impactful storm system to reach south-central US tonight after pounding California/SW US…significant snow, excessive rain, damaging ice, severe storms on the table next couple days***

Paul Dorian

A very impactful storm system will slide out of the SW US later today and begin to intensify over the south-central states by later tonight.  After slamming California and the southwestern states, this system will bring accumulating snow, excessive rain, and damaging ice to parts of the eastern half of the nation during the next couple of days.  In addition, this system will contribute to a potential severe weather outbreak from later today into Friday across the south-central US.

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7:00 AM | **Strong low pressure pushes to our northwest later tomorrow and a secondary develops off the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline**

Paul Dorian

A frontal system will pass through the region later today ushering in colder air for the end of the work week.  On Friday, strong low pressure will push towards the Great Lakes, grind to a halt, and transfer its energy to a secondary storm system off the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline. The result here from this pattern will be occasional rain from tomorrow afternoon into early Saturday and winds will increase as well. The rain can come down hard on Friday night and there can be a thunderstorm in the region. High pressure returns to the region later in the weekend.

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11:30 AM | ***Major storm to impact much of the nation next few days…significant snowfall, flooding rains, ice and a severe weather outbreak***

Paul Dorian

Strong low pressure now over the western US will impact much of the nation in coming days with significant snows, flooding rains, damaging ice, and even a severe weather outbreak. Heavy snow continues to fall today in the higher elevations of California’s Sierra Nevada Mountains and will intensify over the Rocky Mountains States from later today into Thursday.  By later tomorrow, the strong surface low will slide into the south-central US and ingredients will likely come together for a severe weather outbreak across the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys from late tomorrow into Friday. After that, this major storm system will push towards the Great Lakes on Friday, grind to a halt as it becomes influenced by intensifying high-latitude blocking and transfer its energy to a secondary low pressure system that will form off the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline. The result will be a significant snow event late in the week across parts of the Upper Midwest and Northeast US and ice can become a serious issue as well in some sections.

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7:00 AM | *High pressure edges this way and brings the return of some sunshine*

Paul Dorian

High pressure pushes into the region today generating some sunshine and milder conditions.  Clouds increase tonight ahead of the next frontal system and there can be some late night/Thursday morning shower activity.  It stays mild on Thursday, but colder air pushes in for Friday as strong low pressure heads towards the Great Lakes from the south-central states.  Rain or a wintry mix changing to rain is likely on Friday as the primary low pressure system gives way to a secondary storm off the Mid-Atlantic coastline.   

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1:00 PM | ***Major storm to impact much of the nation in coming days…excessive rainfall, significant snow, ice…and a possible severe weather outbreak***

Paul Dorian

As one storm begins to exit off the Northeast US coastline, another one is already impacting northern California with rain in the lower elevations and snows in the mountains. This system will become a major storm and impact much of the nation in coming days with significant snow, ice and rain all the way from California-to-New England. There is also the threat of a severe weather outbreak later in the week across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys.

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7:00 AM | *Low pressure to only slowly pull away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure near the Mid-Atlantic coastline can produce some additional rain, sleet and/or snow this morning before some clearing takes place late in the day. After a cold night, temperatures will rebound some on Wednesday likely reaching the mid-to-upper 40’s for afternoon highs.  The milder weather continues on Thursday ahead of the next cold front which will usher in colder air for the end of the week.  Low pressure will head in this direction on Friday and it can bring us a wintry mix of precipitation.

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12:45 PM | ***Strong and complex storm system to bring wintry precipitation to the northern Mid-Atlantic region from late today into early Tuesday***

Paul Dorian

There will be some wintry precipitation from late today into mid-day Tuesday across the northern Mid-Atlantic region where such occurrences have been rather limited in recent weeks to say the least. A strong and complex storm system will feature a primary (initial) low pressure system that pushes northeastward later today into the Great Lakes and then a secondary low pressure system will develop later tonight along the Mid-Atlantic coastline. A wintry mix of rain, ice and snow is likely across the Philly metro region and snow and/or sleet will likely be the dominate precipitation types from east-central PA northeastward to southeastern New York State. Small accumulations of snow and ice are possible in the suburbs of Philadelphia where the sleet can actually come down heavy at times, moderate accumulation amounts in the Lehigh Valley and New York City, and more significant levels are likely in the higher elevations of the Poconos/northeastern PA, interior NW New Jersey, and N/W suburbs of NYC.

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7:00 AM | ***Snow accumulations of up to a few inches possible from early tonight into early Tuesday***

Paul Dorian

Strong and complex low pressure tracks into the Great Lakes today and it’ll likely bring a decent amount of precipitation to the Mid-Atlantic region and the precipitation type will be location dependent. Snow and/or sleet are likely to be the predominate precipitation types across east-central/northeastern PA to northern New Jersey to New York City. Accumulations of snow and ice are likely to range from around 2-4 inches in the Lehigh Valley and the immediate metro region of New York City to as much as 3-6 inches in the Poconos, NE PA, interior NW NJ, and the far N/W suburbs of NYC. Another strong system may threaten the entire DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with rain and/or snow by the end of the week.

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10:30 AM | ***From record warmth on Thursday in the Mid-Atlantic region to much colder, snow showers on Saturday....accumulating snow/sleet possible later Monday across the northern Mid-Atlantic***

Paul Dorian

There was record warmth in parts of the East on Thursday including in the Mid-Atlantic region where, for example, Washington, D.C.’s Reagan National Airport (DCA) surged to 81 degrees breaking a record set in the late 1800’s.  What a difference a day makes…temperatures at mid-day on Friday are in the 40’s in much of the Mid-Atlantic with very gusty NW winds following the early day passage of a strong cold front. The change in weather will become even more dramatic by Saturday as some snow shower activity is likely in the Mid-Atlantic region – including in some of those same areas that reached the 70’s and 80’s just twenty-four hours ago. Looking even farther ahead, accumulating snow and/or sleet is possible from later Monday into early Tuesday across portions of the northern Mid-Atlantic including in the New York City metro region.

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