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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

7:00 AM | **Rain-changing-to-accumulating snow scenario still on the table for late tomorrow night into Wednesday morning**

Paul Dorian

A warm front will push through the region today and it’ll turn much milder with occasional rain or drizzle and temperatures reaching the middle 50’s. A strong cold front will slowly advance towards the region on Tuesday and it’ll stay quite mild with temperatures climbing towards the 60 degree mark and there will be more shower activity. A wave of low pressure is likely to form along the cold frontal boundary zone on Tuesday night as the colder air begins to arrive and there is a likelihood for rain changing to snow and some accumulations are likely from late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Once that wave of low pressure passes by the northeast of here, the flood gates will open and cold air will pour into the Mid-Atlantic region. High temperatures on Thursday will struggle to reach the mid 30’s in the Philly metro region.

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11:00 AM (Sunday) | **Rain-to-accumulating snow scenario still on the table for the I-95 corridor late Tuesday night/Wednesday morning**

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will push across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest on Monday and usher into these regions a bitter cold air mass for this time of year.  This front will slow down in its advance to the south and east on Tuesday as it’ll become more aligned with an upper-level wind flow blowing front the southwest-to-northeast.  At the same time, upper-level energy will be pushing along the southwestern portion of the front system in the Deep South and this is likely produce a wave of low pressure along the frontal boundary zone which could result in a rain-changing-to-accumulating snow scenario for the I-95 corridor from late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

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12:15 PM (Friday) | *Rain-to-snow scenario on the table in the I-95 corridor for late Tuesday night/early Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will push across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest early next week and usher into these regions a bitterly cold air mass for this time of year.  This frontal system will slow down in its advance to the south and east on Tuesday as it’ll become more aligned with an upper-level wind flow blowing from southwest-to-northeast.  At the same time, upper-level energy will be moving over the southwestern portion of the frontal system in the south-central US on Tuesday.  This setup could produce a wave of low pressure that forms along the frontal boundary zone and perhaps result in a rain-changing-to-snow scenario along the I-95 corridor late Tuesday night/early Wednesday.

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7:00 AM | *Cold this weekend following a frontal passage...noticeably milder on Monday and Tuesday with a rain threat each day*

Paul Dorian

It’ll turn a bit milder today ahead of the next cold front which will usher in another cold air mass for the upcoming weekend. High pressure will shift off the coast on Sunday and it'll turn noticeably milder on Monday and Tuesday with a southwesterly flow of air and rain is possible each day. Another strong cold front will then slowly push through the region on Tuesday night and usher in a cold air mass for the middle of next week. There is the chance that rain changes to snow late Tuesday night/early Wednesday as the colder air arrives behind this slow-moving frontal system.

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7:00 AM | *Quite a cold start to the weekend, but it'll turn noticeably milder early next week*

Paul Dorian

A weak cold frontal system passed through the region last night and its passage has ushered in a reinforcing shot of cold air and temperatures will remain at below-normal levels for the next couple of days. It’ll turn a bit milder on Friday ahead of the next cold front which will usher in another cold air mass for the start of the weekend. Some moderation in temperatures will take place on Sunday and then it'll turn noticeably milder on Monday and Tuesday with showers possible each day. Another strong cold front will then usher in a cold air mass for the middle and latter parts of next week.

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12:15 PM (Wed) | *Snow pack at high levels across the US for early December and throughout North America…impressive cold air outbreaks into at least mid-month for the central and eastern US*

Paul Dorian

The snow pack across the nation is well above-normal for early December and it is actually at or near record high levels across all of North America.  In addition, the first few days of December are colder-than-normal across the nation as a whole and this follows a colder-than-normal month of November for the eastern two-thirds of the nation.  Looking ahead, multiple cold air outbreaks are destined to reach the central and eastern US from Canada right into at least the middle part of the month, but there will be some short-lived warmer-than-normal breaks as well. 

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7:00 AM | *One cold front arrives later today and a second, stronger front arrives late Friday and ushers in a cold air mass to start the weekend*

Paul Dorian

A couple of frontal systems will impact our weather over the next few days with the initial front passing through the region later today. There can be a snow shower early today as the front approaches the region and then an afternoon and evening rain or snow shower is possible. A stronger cold front will arrive late Friday and it will be backed up by Arctic high pressure as we head into the upcoming weekend. As high pressure returns here on Saturday, temperatures will likely be confined to the 30’s for highs and will then rebound some on Sunday. By early next week, a southwesterly flow of air will develop in the eastern US and we’ll turn milder along with an increasing chance of showers for both Monday and Tuesday. A strong cold front will then usher in another cold air mass for the middle of next week.

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7:00 AM | *A relatively quiet, but chilly remainder of the week*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will push away from the New England coastline today and head towards Nova Scotia, Canada. High pressure will push into the region from the west and southwest and the result will be a pretty calm rest of the work week with moderately cold conditions. The passage of another cold front will usher in colder air for the upcoming weekend.

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11:00 AM (Monday) | *Some snow this afternoon and early tonight in SE PA with the highest amounts confined to eastern Bucks County…central/northern NJ and NYC metro region to get hit hard*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure is located off the New Jersey coastline at mid-day and it will intensify over the next several hours as upper-level energy moves in overhead.  Mixed precipitation is rotating around the surface low and will become mainly snow this afternoon and evening as colder air wraps into the system.  Some snow will fall today and tonight in the Philly metro region, but the highest amounts will likely be confined to eastern Bucks County near the Delaware River and to the north and east of there which will put the northern half of New Jersey and the NYC metro region in prime zones for more significant accumulations from this western Atlantic storm. Little to no snow accumulation is likely in Chester County (SE PA) and in areas to the south of the PA/MD border.

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6:00 AM | **Some accumulating snow today and tonight with highest amounts in Bucks County...northern half of NJ to get hit hard**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will spin around today off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and this will allow colder air will wrap into the system and push well to the south and east. As a result, any rain or wintry mix around here early today will change over to snow and the snow is likely to continue at varying rates into the evening hours. One thing we'll have to watch for with this system are small-scale bands of heavy snowfall that are likely to form and any of these can generate higher localized amounts. Highest snowfall amounts are likely to be across Buck County with 3-6 inches on the table there and 1-3 inches is the estimate for the rest of the metro region. The weather calms down on Tuesday and remains relatively quiet for much of the remainder of the week and moderately cold for the beginning of December.

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