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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

7:00 AM | *The remains of "Henri" push away...hot, humid weather returns to the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

The remains of “Henri” will push away from the northeastern part of the country this morning and the next few days will feature very warm and humid conditions in the Philly metro region with high temperatures at or slightly above the 90 degree mark. By the end of the week, a cold front will close in from the northwest and its Friday night passage is likely to bring us some relief for the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Dealing with the remains of Henri for another 24 hours or so...remainder of the week turns hotter in the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

The remains of Tropical Storm Henri will impact the Northeast US for another 24 hours or so with plenty of clouds, moisture and occasional showers and thunderstorms. This system will push off the coast tomorrow morning and the weather will turn hotter in the Mid-Atlantic region with high temperatures at or slightly above the 90 degree mark for much of the remainder of the week.

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7:00 AM | ***Good chance of showers this morning...threat of heavy rain on Saturday...watching the movement of "Henri" this weekend over the western Atlantic***

Paul Dorian

A broad upper-level trough remains in place overhead and is producing enough instability for numerous showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two in the Philly metro region. The threat for rain will continue into the weekend as well and some of the rain on Saturday and Saturday night can be heavy at times. Meanwhile, the storm track of Tropical Storm Henri will become increasingly influenced this weekend by building high pressure over southeastern Canada and this system is likely to turn to the north and intensify into a hurricane – potentially resulting in a direct impact on Long Island or New England by late Sunday

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11:00 AM (Friday) | ****TS Henri to turn to the north and intensify into hurricane status...direct impact possible by later Sunday in the region from Long Island to southern New England****

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm Henri remains a threat to Long Island and New England where it could make a direct impact as a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane late in the upcoming weekend. This system will become influenced by expanding high pressure over southeastern Canada and a developing upper-level trough over the Appalachian Mountains causing it to make a sharp right turn in the near-term. In addition, more favorable environmental conditions will allow for intensification of Henri this weekend from the current tropical storm status to hurricane levels and it could very well be closing in on Long Island and southern New England as a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane by late in the day on Sunday. All residents from the northern Mid-Atlantic to northern New England should closely monitor the movement of Tropical Storm Henri.

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7:00 AM | *Remnants of "Fred" push to the north of here...attention shifts to the Atlantic and "Henri"*

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Tropical Storm “Fred” have moved to the north of here into upstate New York and the chance for rain here today will diminish; but not disappear completely. The atmosphere will remain unstable enough for isolated-to-scattered showers and thunderstorms later today as well as tonight and on Friday. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm “Henri” continues to churn slowly out over the western Atlantic Ocean and is on the doorstep of attaining hurricane status (max sustained winds now at 70 mph). The unfolding upper air pattern may allow for movement of Henri towards New England later this weekend and all residents along the Northeast US coastline should monitor this system in coming days.

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11:50 AM | ***Showers/storms from remnants of “Fred”…any storm can be severe with isolated tornadoes a threat…TS “Henri” needs to be closely monitored by coastal residents of Northeast US***

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Tropical Storm “Fred” continue to push to the northeast today and are now centered over the southwestern part of Pennsylvania. Its tropical moisture field has spread throughout the Mid-Atlantic region and is enhancing the chance for downpours later today and tonight and also the chance for severe thunderstorm activity which may include isolated tornadoes.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm “Henri” continues to spin out over the Atlantic Ocean and is likely to intensify into hurricane status in the near-term. There are some “red flags” in the developing weather pattern that suggest “Henri” should be very closely monitored in coming days; especially, for coastal residents of the Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | **Tropical moisture pushes into the Mid-Atlantic region...heaviest rainfall stays to the west during the day, but shifts east tonight**

Paul Dorian

Tropical moisture associated with the remnants of Fred has pushed northward into the Mid-Atlantic region and will enhance the chance of showers and thunderstorms. The heaviest rainfall today and tonight will take place to the west of here, but any shower or thunderstorm that does develop in our area can produce some heavy rainfall. The remnants of Fred push to our north by Thursday morning and then attention shifts to Henri out over the Atlantic. This system is likely to reach hurricane in the near-term and may come "too-close-for-comfort" to the east coast late in the week or weekend. As a result, Henri needs to be closely monitored by all residents along the east coast; especially, those up in New England.

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1:45 PM | *Fred, Grace and Henri, oh my…remnants of Fred pushing northward with significant rain…Grace headed west towards Yucatan Peninsula…Henri needs to be very closely monitored*

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm Fred came ashore late yesterday in western Florida and the remains are now pushing north-northeastward across the northwestern part of Georgia. Despite its recent weakening, this system continues to produce some significant rainfall and strong thunderstorm activity in the Southeast US and Tennessee Valley and it will likely do so tomorrow and tomorrow night in the Mid-Atlantic region. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Grace is moving westward through the Caribbean Sea and is likely to reach the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico by Thursday – probably as a hurricane. Finally, Tropical Storm Henri has formed over the Atlantic and is currently meandering not too far from the island of Bermuda. This system is quite worrisome in that it may come awfully close to the US east coast before hopefully turning away…needs to be very closely monitored.

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7:00 AM | **"Fred" makes landfall...its tropical moisture field to push northward to the Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm “Fred” came ashore last evening in the western part of Florida and has since weakened into a tropical depression. This system will, however, continue to produce significant rainfall as it pushes northward along the Appalachian Mountains during the next 24-48 hours. The biggest impact in the Mid-Atlantic region will come later tomorrow into Thursday when significant rain can fall in some spots; especially, on the western side of Route I-95. In addition to the threat of some significant rain, there is the chance that thunderstorms at mid-week reach strong-to-severe levels with isolated tornadoes on the table in the Mid-Atlantic region. By later Thursday, the remnants of "Fred" will have passed by to the north, but the weather will remain somewhat unsettled going into the weekend. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Tropical Storm "Grace" is likely headed west towards the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico and Tropical Storm "Henri" will meander over the Atlantic Ocean in coming days not too far from the island of Bermuda.

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11:30 AM | *Strengthening TS “Fred” closing in on Florida Panhandle…tropical moisture to push northward resulting in significant rainfall from Gulf coast to Mid-Atlantic…”Grace” update, "Henri" next?*

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm “Fred” is strengthening as it closes in on the Panhandle region of Florida and it could even reach hurricane status before making landfall this evening. “Fred” will weaken quickly after landfall in terms of its wind field; however, its tropical moisture field will push northward over the few days resulting in significant rainfall from the Gulf coast to Tennessee Valley to the Mid-Atlantic. “Grace” has weakened (temporarily) to tropical depression status and is likely to take a track much farther to the south of “Fred” as it becomes increasingly influenced by building high pressure over the western Atlantic. A third system over the Atlantic will tend to meander not too far from Bermuda and it could very well become Tropical Storm “Henri” in the near-term.

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