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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

6:00 AM | ***Heavy showers/strong storms early today and possible again late this evening...shaping up for a great weekend***

Paul Dorian

A couple of cold fronts will usher in a spectacular air mass for this time of year to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US/Great Lakes just in time for the upcoming Father’s Day weekend. There will be some active weather, however, before we get to that point with showers and strong thunderstorms early today and again this evening associated with an initial cold front. There can be another shower or thunderstorm on Friday associated with the arrival of a secondary cold front. Strong high pressure will then take control of the weather for the weekend…a system that had its origins way up in northern Canada. Elsewhere, intense heat will continue to affect the region from the south-central states-to-the Midwest-to-the Southeast US over the next several days and some of this hot air will try to make an advance into the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week.

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11:30 AM | *A fall-like weekend in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US/Great Lakes…some active weather before we get there…stays very hot south-central US/Midwest/Southeast US*

Paul Dorian

A couple of cold fronts will usher in a spectacular air mass for this time of year to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US/Great Lakes just in time for the upcoming Father’s Day weekend. There will be some active weather, however, before we get to that point with the threat of showers and strong thunderstorms from late tonight into early tomorrow morning and then again on Thursday evening in association with an initial cold frontal system. In addition, there can be another shower or thunderstorm on Friday as a secondary cold front arrives in the Mid-Atlantic region. Strong high pressure will then take control of the weather for the weekend…a system that had its origins up in northern Canada. Elsewhere, intense heat will continue to affect the region from the south-central states-to-the Midwest-to-the Southeast US over the next several days and some of this hot air will try to make an advance into the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week.

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7:00 AM | *After a rain-free Wednesday, more showers and storms are possible from late tonight through tomorrow night...weekend shaping up to be quite nice*

Paul Dorian

The timing of the next cold front could turn out to be perfect as it likely clears the way for a very nice June weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region featuring very comfortable temperatures and humidity levels. It will be quite breezy, however, on both weekend days. The cold front will generate some shower activity in the area anytime from late tonight into tomorrow night and there can be a couple of strong thunderstorms mixed in as well. High pressure from Canada will drop to the Great Lakes by the weekend and will anchor a cooler-than-normal air mass for the region on both Saturday and Sunday. Elsewhere, the next several days will feature some very hot weather in the Midwest and Southeast US and some of this air will try to make it into the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week.

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1:00 PM | *Father’s Day weekend shaping up to be quite nice in the Mid-Atlantic region…likely to get quite a bit warmer by the middle of next week*

Paul Dorian

Today has been an active weather day in the Mid-Atlantic region and there will be more shower and thunderstorm activity later in the week with the arrival of the next cold front. The timing of the next cold front could turn out to be perfect as it likely clears the way for a very nice June weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region with very comfortable temperatures for this time of year. Looking ahead, an intense heat wave is likely to develop during the first half of next week from the nation’s mid-section to the southeastern states and some of this heat may expand to the Mid-Atlantic region by mid-week.

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6:30 AM | **Showers and storms moving this way from south-central PA...some of the rain will be heavy**

Paul Dorian

An area of showers and thunderstorms that developed late yesterday over the Upper Midwest dropped southeast across the Great Lakes in the overnight hours and will impact part of the Mid-Atlantic region this morning. High pressure will build back into the area later today and it’ll stay warm into the latter part of the week. A cold front should push through the area by the end of the week paving the way for more comfortable temperatures this weekend.

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2:45 PM | ***Latest trends and observations suggest the worst of the MCS on Tuesday morning could focus on DC, Maryland, Virginia and the Delmarva Peninsula...stay on guard in Philly***

Paul Dorian

A strong ridge of high pressure in the upper part of the atmosphere has formed over the nation’s mid-section and the Mid-Atlantic region is on the outer periphery of this large-scale system. As such, winds aloft in this part of the nation are flowing from northwest-to-southeast and often times this time of year, the outer perimeter of strong high pressure ridging is an active zone with strong thunderstorm activity. Indeed, this “ring of fire” around the high pressure system is very active today with a complex of thunderstorms now exploding over the Upper Midwest. This “mesoscale convective system” (MCS) as it is referred to by meteorologists is likely to drop southeastward in the overnight hours and reach somewhere in the Mid-Atlantic region on Tuesday morning. Latest trends and observations suggest the worst of the MCS could focus on DC, Maryland, Virginia and the Delmarva Peninsula, but stay on guard in Philly.

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7:00 AM | **Much warmer this week, but still unsettled...keeping an eye on possible Midwest "mesoscale convective complex" that could impact the local region early tomorrow**

Paul Dorian

After an unsettled weekend featuring occasional showers and thunderstorms, it’ll turn warmer this week, but with continued unsettled conditions and chances of showers and thunderstorms. Strong high pressure ridging has set up from the middle of the nation to the southeastern states providing that part of the country with some very hot weather. The Northeast US is on the outer perimeter of this upper-level ridge and it is an active region to be in with the possibility of showers and storms moving from NW-to-SE in coming days to the northeastern states. In fact, we’ll have to keep our eye on a “mesoscale convective complex” that likely develops later today over the Upper Midwest which could head in our direction by early tomorrow. A cold front looks destined to push through the region by the weekend bringing comfortable temperatures back to the area.

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7:00 AM | *An unsettled weekend with a shower threat on both days...maybe a couple of thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure expanded into the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday and it stays close enough today to provide us with more sunshine and comfortable temperatures. The weather, however, gets more unsettled as we get into the weekend as weak low pressure systems will push in this direction on each day. As a result, a few showers are possible on Saturday although the day will not be a washout and it’ll be a bit cooler. Sunday should turn a bit warmer and there is the threat of showers and maybe a couple of thunderstorms. High pressure resumes control across the NE US on Monday and there should be plenty of sunshine during the first half of next week with temperatures in the 80’s. At the same time, much of the southern US will undergo a big-time heat wave.

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7:15 AM | *California-to-Texas heat to intensify and expand eastward next week to Southeast US...revisiting the brutally hot summer of 1980...hard-pressed to match that one*

Paul Dorian

Highs temperatures on Friday are likely to reach 100 degrees in Dallas, Texas and this could begin an impressive string of days at or above the century mark in that particular location. High pressure ridging has been quite strong recently in the region from California-to-Texas and it will intensify over the next few days and then build eastward next week all the way to the Southeast US coastline. It is not unprecedented to see this kind of June heat in Texas or other parts of the southern states and Dallas will have a tough time matching the sustained and extreme heat of the summer of 1980.

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7:00 AM | *A break in the action through Friday...showers return this weekend and it turns cooler*

Paul Dorian

High pressure builds into the region later today with an influx of drier air and gusty winds and then a comfortably cool night will be followed by a nice day on Friday. Another low pressure system will develop in the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday and there will be a noticeably cooler air mass pushing into the area. Showers are likely to go along with the unusually cool conditions and temperatures will no better than the lower 70’s for afternoon highs. It’ll stay unsettled on Sunday given the chilly air aloft with the continuation of below-normal temperatures and a threat for showers.

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