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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

7:00 AM | *Warmer air mass pushes in for the next few days following the passage of a warm front*

Paul Dorian

Warmer air on the south side of a warm front will dominate the scene here today and on Wednesday as well and then a cold front will push towards the region from the Ohio Valley.  Ahead of the front, the chance of showers will rise later tomorrow and tomorrow night and the passage of the system on Thursday may be accompanied by a strong to potentially severe thunderstorm. It’ll turn cooler on Friday following the passage of the frontal system with a chilly air mass moving into the northeastern states. High pressure with its origins in Canada will take control of the weather for the weekend and there should be some sunshine on both days; however, it’ll feel quite cool in the shade or during the nights.

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10:30 AM | ***Another severe weather outbreak on the way from later tomorrow into Wednesday likely to include numerous tornadoes…substantial accumulating snow from the Rockies to the Dakotas***

Paul Dorian

There have been back-to-back weeks with severe weather outbreaks in the US and it looks like another one is on the way from later tomorrow into Wednesday.  The areas of concern include the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and the ingredients that will come together to destabilize the atmosphere include jet streaks at multiple layers, cold, dry air mass charging to the south and east, and warm, humid air flowing northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Tornadoes are running at above-normal levels across the nation so far this season thanks in large part to the recent two outbreaks and, unfortunately, many more are likely from later tomorrow into Wednesday. Meanwhile, in the cold sector of the storm system, the air will be cold enough for accumulating snow all the way from the Rockies to the Dakotas and, in some spots, this could amount to as much as 1-2 feet.

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7:00 AM | *Becoming breezy and milder today as a southerly flow develops*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will stay in control of the weather around here today and it’ll become breezy and much milder after a frosty start to the new work week.  Warmer air on the south side of a warm front will dominate the scene on Tuesday and Wednesday and then a cold front arrives on Thursday. It’ll turn somewhat cooler on Friday following the frontal passage and - at this vantage point - it appears high pressure may be in control around here for the upcoming Easter weekend.

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10:00 AM | ***Damaging wind gusts possible this morning with rain/scattered thunderstorms… sun this afternoon to boost chances for late day/evening severe weather including isolated tornadoes***

Paul Dorian

Strong low pressure over the eastern Great Lakes this morning continues to wreak havoc across the nation. Last night, tornadoes broke out from the Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley and, in the cold sector of the storm, accumulating snow fell across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.  Snow continues today across the Great Lakes region this morning and powerful potentially damaging winds have reached the Mid-Atlantic region to along with rain, scattered strong thunderstorms, and very mild conditions.  A dry slot should result in some sunshine this afternoon in the I-95 corridor which will only boost chances for late day/evening severe weather with damaging wind gusts, hail and even isolated tornadoes on the table.

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7:00 AM | ***Powerful cold front to bring potentially damaging wind gusts, showers and possible strong thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

It turns much milder today with afternoon temperatures peaking in the lower 60’s.  Showers will be possible this afternoon and winds will increase in strength. Temperatures will climb to even higher levels on Saturday just ahead of an incoming strong cold front perhaps reaching the 70 degree mark. There will be occasional showers on Saturday and Saturday night to go along with those unseasonably warm conditions and perhaps even a thunderstorm. A big factor on Saturday and Saturday night will be the winds with gusts to 40-50 mph on the table. Despite some sunshine, it’ll be noticeably cooler on Sunday following the passage of the strong cold front with temperatures nearly 20 degrees lower than Saturday and there will be a stiff NW wind as well.

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9:30 AM | ****Severe weather/tornado outbreak on Friday night in the Mississippi Valley…damaging winds gusts Ohio Valley/eastern US later Friday and Saturday associated with strong cold front****

Paul Dorian

Tornadoes are running at above-normal levels across the nation so far this season and there is the likelihood for another outbreak on Friday night centered on the Mississippi Valley region. In much the same manner as at the end of the last week, the atmosphere will become very unstable by Friday night in the Mississippi Valley region with a multitude of ingredients coming together including vigorous upper-level support, an intrusion of warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico ahead of a strong surface cold front, and an influx of cold, dry air from the north and west behind it. A similar weather pattern late last week resulted in an outbreak of tornadoes across Mississippi and Alabama that tragically resulted in the death of at least 26 people. The powerful cold front that will play a major role in the severe weather outbreak on Friday night will plow eastward through the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys and into the eastern states possibly resulting in damaging wind gusts of 50-60 mph in those sections of the country.

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7:00 AM | **Powerful wind gusts on the table for later Friday and Saturday associated with strong cold front**

Paul Dorian

Following the passage of a cold front, it’ll much cooler today and there will be a noticeable breeze from a northwesterly direction as high pressure heads into New England. It turns much milder on Friday with possibility of late day showers ahead of the next cold front and temperatures can climb to near 60 degrees. Temperatures will climb to even higher levels on Saturday just ahead of the strong cold front perhaps reaching the 70 degree mark, but there will be occasional showers and perhaps even a thunderstorm. The biggest factor from later tomorrow into Saturday will likely be the winds which will be quite strong and potentially damaging with gusts to 50 mph on the table. Despite some sunshine on Sunday, it’ll be noticeably cooler following the next cold frontal passage with temperatures nearly 20 degrees lower than Saturday and there will be a stiff NW wind as well.

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7:00 AM | **Strong cold front headed this way for the weekend...powerful wind gusts on the table later Friday and Saturday**

Paul Dorian

High pressure will stay in control of the weather through today resulting in plenty of sunshine and then a cold front slides through the region later tonight. Following the frontal passage, it’ll be unseasonably chilly on Thursday, but then it turns much milder on Friday with possible late day showers ahead of an incoming strong cold front.  Temperatures will climb to even higher levels on Saturday just ahead of the strong cold front perhaps reaching the 70 degree mark, but occasional showers are likely and perhaps even a thunderstorm. The biggest factor late Friday and Saturday will likely be the winds which will be quite strong and potentially damaging with gusts to 50 mph or higher on the table. Despite some sunshine on Sunday, it’ll be noticeably cooler following the frontal passage with temperatures some 20 degrees lower than Saturday and there may be a stiff NW breeze as well.

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9:30 AM | **Potential exists for a severe weather outbreak on Friday night in the Mississippi Valley…powerful cold front reaches the eastern US on Saturday with possible damaging wind gusts**

Paul Dorian

Tornadoes are running at above-normal levels across the nation so far this season and there is the potential for another severe weather outbreak at the end of this week.  In much the same manner as at the end of the last week, the atmosphere will become very unstable by Friday night in the Mississippi Valley region with a multitude of ingredients coming together including vigorous upper-level support, an intrusion of warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, and an influx of cold, dry air from the north and west. A similar weather pattern late last week resulted in an outbreak of tornadoes across Mississippi and Alabama that tragically resulted in the death of at least 26 people. The powerful cold front that will play a major role in the late week severe weather threat in the Mississippi Valley will plow through the Ohio Valley and into the eastern states on Saturday possibly resulting in damaging wind gusts of 50-60 mph in those sections of the country.

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7:00 AM | *Next cold front arrives here on Wednesday night...an even stronger cold front heads this way this weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will edge into the Mid-Atlantic region from later today into Wednesday and then a cold front will slide through on Wednesday night. Following the frontal passage, it’ll be quite chilly on Thursday, but then it turns milder on Friday with the chance of PM showers.  The weekend will feature the passage of a strong cold front on Saturday night and there will be big temperature differences between Saturday and Sunday.  Windy and warm conditions are likely on Saturday ahead of a strong cold front with highs near 70 degrees and there are likely to be occasional showers…maybe even a strong thunderstorm. There is the potential on Saturday for damaging wind gusts as the strong cold front first approaches and then passes through the region. Despite some sunshine on Sunday, it’ll be noticeably cooler following the frontal passage with temperatures some 15-20 degrees lower than on Saturday and there will likely be a stiff NW breeze as well.

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