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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

11:30 AM - ****Hurricane Milton has intensified rapidly and is on the doorstep of “category 5” designation...headed for a possible late Wednesday landfall right near Tampa Bay****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Milton has intensified rapidly during the past 24 hours over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and is now classified as a strong category 4 “major” hurricane...just on the doorstep of a category 5 designation. Given the very favorable environmental conditions, Hurricane Milton is likely to reach category 5 status later today as it heads slowly to the east-southeast. Hurricane Milton is expected to turn to the northeast later tomorrow which would bring the system to Florida’s Gulf coast region by later Wednesday...likely right near or just to the north of Tampa Bay. There can be some weakening of Hurricane Milton in the hours before landfall due to some “late in the game” dry air intrusion; however, landfall as a “major” would still be quite possible during the PM hours on Wednesday. With a possible landfall near or just to the north of Tampa Bay, storm surge in the bay region would be significant...perhaps as high 8-12 feet. After landfall, Hurricane Milton is likely to cross over the Florida Peninsula as a hurricane, and then exit off the east coast on Thursday to the open waters of the southwestern Atlantic.

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7:00 AM | *Another possible "major" hurricane that is headed to Florida's Gulf coast by mid-week*

Paul Dorian

A frontal system will push through the area today and pave the way for a generally dry week featuring warm days and cool nights. High temperatures during the next few days will be near the 80-degree mark and overnight lows in the lower 50’s with high pressure remaining in control. On the tropical scene, Tropical Storm Milton is likely to intensify into a “major” hurricane during the next couple of days as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico from west-to-east with a possible landfall at mid-week somewhere along Florida’s western Gulf coast.

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7:00 AM | *Dry and quite warm for the bulk of the week...cool shot possible by the weekend*

Paul Dorian

The overall pattern during the next few days will feature dry and warm conditions across the region and an elevated risk for wildfires. High temperatures during the week will generally fall into the range of the low-to-mid 80’s which is well above normal for this time of year. There are signs of a cool down by the weekend with the likely passage of a late week cold frontal system.

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6:30 AM | **Dry and cool for the rest of the week following today's frontal passage...another "major" hurricane headed to Florida**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will cross the area this morning and pave the way for a cool and dry rest of the week in the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures today can climb into the lower 70’s for afternoon highs and then will likely be confined to the 60’s for the rest of the week with overnight lows down in the 40’s. On the tropical scene, Milton is now a category 2 hurricane and is likely to intensify into a “major” hurricane as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico with a possible landfall on Wednesday afternoon somewhere along Florida’s west-central Gulf coast and perhaps right in the Tampa Bay region.

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6:30 AM | **Dry and cool for the rest of the week following today's frontal passage...another "major" hurricane headed to Florida**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will cross the area this morning and pave the way for a cool and dry rest of the week in the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures today can climb into the lower 70’s for afternoon highs and then will likely be confined to the 60’s for the rest of the week with overnight lows well down in the 40’s. In an instant classic on Sunday, the weather was spectacular in South Philly for the Phillies/Mets game and it should be dry and cool in NYC for games on Tuesday and Wednesday.

On the tropical scene, Milton is now a category 2 hurricane and is likely to intensify into a “major” hurricane as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico with a possible landfall on Wednesday afternoon somewhere along Florida’s west-central Gulf coast and perhaps right in the Tampa Bay region.

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6:30 AM | **Dry and cool for the rest of the week following today's frontal passage...another "major" hurricane headed to Florida**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will cross the area this morning and pave the way for a cool and dry rest of the week in the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures today can climb into the low-to-mid 70’s for afternoon highs and then will likely be confined to the 60’s for the rest of the week with overnight lows well down in the 40’s. In an instant classic on Sunday, the weather was spectacular in South Philly for the Phillies/Mets game and it should be dry and cool in NYC for games on Tuesday and Wednesday.

On the tropical scene, Milton is now a category 2 hurricane and is likely to intensify into a “major” hurricane as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico with a possible landfall on Wednesday afternoon somewhere along Florida’s west-central Gulf coast and perhaps right in the Tampa Bay region.

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9:30 AM (Sunday) - ***Another “major” hurricane may be headed towards Florida’s Gulf coast…possible mid-week landfall right near the Tampa Bay region***

Paul Dorian

Another “major” hurricane may be headed towards Florida’s Gulf coast with a possible mid-week landfall right near the Tampa Bay region. “Milton” became a named tropical storm on Saturday over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and it is likely to attain hurricane status by later Sunday as it begins a move to the east. Given the generally favorable environmental conditions, Milton could then become a “major” hurricane as early as Monday as it continues on a trek towards Florida’s west coast.

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7:00 AM | *Quite warm and continued dry next several days*

Paul Dorian

The overall pattern during the next several days will produce rather nice weather for us featuring dry conditions and plenty of sunshine on a daily basis. High temperatures during the next several days will generally fall into the range of the low-to-mid 80’s which is well above normal for this time of year.

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