An upper-level trough will push into the northeastern states later today and raise the chance for afternoon and nighttime showers and thunderstorms in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor...some of the rain can be heavy at times. Hurricane Erin (category 2) will curve away from the east coast during the next couple of days partly as a result of this incoming upper-level trough and begin to accelerate to the northeast on Thursday and is likely to be positioned over the open waters of the North Atlantic by later this weekend. Despite Erin’s track well to our east, rip currents and rough surf will be a big problem along coastal sections during the next couple of days and there can be some beach erosion and flooding at times.
A second high pressure system takes control of the weather for the late week and beginning of the weekend with sunny weather and comfortable temperatures expected on Friday and Saturday. Looking ahead, there are signs for cooler-than-normal conditions across much of the eastern half of the nation for the last week or so of August and we’ll have two tropical systems to monitor on the heels of Hurricane Erin that are now in the eastern Atlantic (may become Fernand and Gabrielle).
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Erin has weakened during the past 24 hours and has now lost its “major” hurricane status and is classified as a category 2 storm with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. The long-anticipated curve of Erin has begun with a movement currently to the northwest at 9 mph to be followed by a northerly push on Wednesday and then an acceleration to the northeast on Thursday. While Erin has weakened in recent hours, it has also expanded in size and its outer perimeter winds are likely to reach tropical-storm force levels across the Outer Banks on Wednesday and potentially even to hurricane-force levels. Rip currents and rough surf will extend all the way up the eastern seaboard for the next couple of days and beach erosion/coastal flooding is on the table in many areas. The biggest impact along the Mid-Atlantic coastline will come later Wednesday night and Thursday with strong winds impacting coastal sections from Long Island-to-New Jersey-to-the Delmarva Peninsula.
Looking ahead, there are two other tropical systems now in the eastern Atlantic, and they’ll have to be monitored during the next several days...any impact from these two systems would be from next week into the following week which would take us into the early part of September. Also, a cooler-than-normal weather pattern looks like it’ll set up for much of the eastern half of the nation for the last week or so of the month of August once Hurricane Erin exits off to the open waters of the North Atlantic.
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It remains hot and humid from today into Thursday with afternoon highs generally in the low-to-mid 90’s. There is some relief coming by the end of the work week with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms and highs likely confined to the upper 80’s for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
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High pressure to our north will continue to produce an ocean flow of air around here for the next couple of days helping to keep temperatures cooler-than-normal for this time of year. It’ll be unsettled as well with an occasional showers through tonight and then they’ll be a chance of showers and thunderstorms from tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night associated with an upper-level trough of low pressure.
Hurricane Erin - now a category 3 storm - will curve away from the east coast during the next couple of days partly as a result of this incoming upper-level trough and by Thursday, it’ll begin to race to the northeast towards the open waters of the North Atlantic. Despite Erin’s track well to our east, rip currents and rough surf will be a problem along coastal sections during the next few days and there can be some beach erosion and flooding at times. A second high pressure system takes control of the weather for the latter part of the week and beginning of the weekend with nice weather and comfortable temperatures expected on Friday and Saturday.
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Increasingly hot weather is in store for the region during the next few days with temperatures reaching the lower 90’s this afternoon for highs and perhaps near 100 degrees by Thursday afternoon. A frontal system should bring some relief by the end of the work week and for the weekend and there will be an increased chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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High pressure to our north will continue to produce an ocean flow of air around here for the next couple of days helping to keep temperatures cooler-than-normal for this time of year. It’ll be somewhat unsettled as well with an isolated shower from time-to-time through tonight and then they’ll be a chance of showers and thunderstorms from tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night associated with an upper-level trough of low pressure.
Hurricane Erin - now a category 3 storm - will curve away from the east coast during the next couple of days partly as a result of this incoming upper-level trough and by Thursday, it’ll begin to race to the northeast towards the open waters of the North Atlantic. Despite Erin’s track well to our east, rip currents and rough surf will be a problem along coastal sections during the next few days and there can be some beach erosion and flooding at times. A second high pressure system takes control of the weather for the latter part of the week and beginning of the weekend with nice weather and comfortable temperatures expected on Friday and Saturday.
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High pressure to our north will continue to produce an ocean flow of air around here for the next couple of days helping to keep temperatures cooler-than-normal for this time of year. It’ll be somewhat unsettled as well with an isolated shower from time-to-time through tonight and then they’ll be a chance of showers and thunderstorms from tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night associated with an upper-level trough of low pressure.
Hurricane Erin - now a category 3 storm - will curve away from the east coast during the next couple of days partly as a result of this incoming upper-level trough and by Thursday, it’ll begin to race to the northeast towards the open waters of the North Atlantic. Despite Erin’s track well to our east, rip currents and rough surf will be a problem along coastal sections during the next few days and there can be some beach erosion and flooding at times. A second high pressure system takes control of the weather for the latter part of the week and beginning of the weekend with nice weather and comfortable temperatures expected on Friday and Saturday.
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Erin has strengthened today and is now a category 4 “major” hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 140 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at around 10 mph. Hurricane Erin will begin a turn to the northwest later today followed by a general turn to the north from Tuesday into Wednesday and then it’ll begin an acceleration on Thursday and take a sharp turn to the northeast.
Even though the center of Hurricane Erin will remain offshore as it curves away from the east coast, its strength, expansion in size, and the prolonged nature of an onshore flow of air will likely result in significant impact to the Outer Banks of North Carolina where beach and coastal damage may be extreme. Elsewhere along the east coast, rip currents and high surf are likely along many coastal sections and there is likely to be beach erosion and coastal flooding with a prolonged period of onshore flow.
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1969 was a remarkable year and will be long remembered as the year when man first walked on the moon, the Miracle Mets shocked the sports world, and the Woodstock Festival took place in upstate New York. It will also be remembered as the year when a major hurricane –Hurricane Camille – struck the United States as a category 5 storm and the second most intense tropical cyclone on record (only the 1935 Labor Day hurricane had a lower central pressure at landfall). Hurricane Camille made landfall in Mississippi and wreaked havoc from the Gulf States to as far inland as the Mid-Atlantic with widespread flooding, record rainfall, and it cost the lives of several hundreds of people along its path of destruction.
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A cold front is working its way through the region this morning and it’ll stall out across southern Virginia by tonight. It’ll turn out sharply cooler today and on Tuesday as well on the back side of the frontal system and there will be a stiff east-to-northeast wind. Meanwhile, Hurricane Erin - now a category 4 “major” storm - will stay well offshore and pass by to the east of here at mid-week. However, rip currents, rough surf, high waves, and beach erosion will be a problem along much of the eastern seaboard during the next several days. High pressure takes control of the weather for the second half of the week and provide us with continued comfortable temperatures for this time of year in the Thursday, Friday, Saturday time period.
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