Melissa is now a category 5 “major” hurricane located just to the south of Jamaica and continues to drift to the west over some very warm water of the central Caribbean Sea. Hurricane Melissa will begin a gradual turn to the northwest and then north by later tonight and likely come ashore on Jamaica’s southern coast on Tuesday morning. After that, the hurricane will push in a northeasterly direction and pass over the eastern part of Cuba by early Wednesday – likely still as a major - and then likely the southeastern Bahama Islands by late Wednesday. By later Thursday, Melissa could come very close to the island of Bermuda as it picks up some forward speed and continues on a northeasterly direction...eventually bringing it out to the open waters of the North Atlantic.
Meanwhile, an active weather pattern over the continental US will feature a deepening upper-level trough by mid-week over the Tennessee Valley and this will help to spawn a strong surface-level storm system. This strong storm will likely produce a soaking event for the Mid-Atlantic region from later Wednesday through Thursday night with 2+ inches on the table, and onshore winds will be a noticeable factor as well. The rain may linger for a bit on Friday morning, but the bulk of Halloween Day should feature partial sunshine and quite windy and cool conditions.
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An area of high pressure to our north remains in control of the weather around here as we begin the new work week with today featuring cool conditions and a mix of sun and clouds. An active weather pattern will bring one storm system to the Carolinas from later tonight into Tuesday and its effects will generally stay to our south; however, a couple of showers cannot be ruled out later Tuesday night and early Wednesday. A second storm will then push northeast from the Tennessee Valley from later Wednesday into Thursday and it’ll likely produce a soaking rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region and the threat of rain can linger into early Friday. The rest of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature windy and cool conditions and a return to partly sunny skies.
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An area of high pressure to our north remains in control of the weather around here as we begin the new work week with today featuring cool conditions and a mix of sun and clouds. An active weather pattern will bring one storm system to the Carolinas from later tonight into Tuesday and its effects will generally stay to our south; however, a few showers cannot be ruled out on Tuesday or Tuesday night. A second storm will then push northeast from the Tennessee Valley from later Wednesday into Thursday and it’ll likely produce a soaking rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region and the threat of rain can linger into early Friday. The rest of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature windy and cool conditions and a return to partly sunny skies.
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An area of high pressure to our north remains in control of the weather around here as we begin the new work week with today featuring cool conditions and a mix of sun and clouds. An active weather pattern will bring one storm system to the Carolinas from later tonight into Tuesday and its effects will generally stay to our south; however, a couple of showers cannot be ruled out later Tuesday night and early Wednesday. A second storm will then push northeast from the Tennessee Valley from later Wednesday into Thursday and it’ll likely produce a soaking rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region and the threat of rain can linger into early Friday. The rest of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature windy and cool conditions and a return to partly sunny skies.
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A cold front passed through the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday and strong high pressure to our north will be in control for the next several days. The weather through the early part of next week will feature cool, dry days with highs generally in the mid-to-upper 50’s and quite chilly nights with frost possible in some locations and overnight lows down in the 30’s. A storm system may then impact the region from late Tuesday into Wednesday with some rainfall and the cool weather conditions will continue as well. Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Melissa will continue to drift over the Caribbean Sea for the next few days…likely to become a hurricane on Saturday and perhaps a “major” by Monday.
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A cold front passed through the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday and strong high pressure to our north will be in control for the next several days. The weather through the early part of next week will feature cool, dry days with highs generally in the mid-to-upper 50’s and quite chilly nights with frost possible in many locations and overnight lows down in the 30’s. A storm system may then impact the region from late Tuesday into Wednesday with some rainfall and the cool weather conditions will continue as well. Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Melissa will continue to drift over the Caribbean Sea for the next few days…likely to become a hurricane on Saturday and perhaps a “major” by Monday.
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The weather stays somewhat unsettled today with the chance of showers and cooler with afternoon highs likely limited to the low-to-mid 60’s. A storm system will approach by the end of the weekend, and it should bring about cool, windy weather for the early part of next week and the potential of some accumulating mountain snow.
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A cold front passed through the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday and strong high pressure to our north will be in control for the next several days. The weather through the early part of next week will feature cool, dry days with highs generally in the mid-to-upper 50’s and quite chilly nights with frost possible in some locations and overnight lows down in the 30’s. A storm system may then impact the region from late Tuesday into Wednesday with some rainfall and the cool weather conditions will continue as well. Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Melissa will continue to drift over the Caribbean Sea for the next few days…likely to become a hurricane on Saturday and perhaps a “major” by Monday.
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The next couple of days will remain quite nice across the Tennessee Valley with plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. It turns cooler and unsettled for the weekend and early part of next week with an upper-level trough starting to form across the central and eastern US.
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Tropical Storm Melissa continues to drift today over the warm waters of the Caribbean Sea and will likely do so for several days to come. There has been no intensification of the tropical system during the past 24 hours or so as it is in an area featuring strong westerly vertical wind shear. Wind shear in the general vicinity of the circulation center of Tropical Storm Melissa is likely to diminish over the upcoming weekend which should allow for intensification of the system into a minimal hurricane, and a strengthening to “major”, category 5 status is certainly on the table by early next week. Ultimately, this tropical system will take a turn to the north - likely crossing over central/eastern Cuba - on its way to the western Atlantic Ocean. An active weather pattern next week will feature a powerful jet streak, intense blocking in the atmosphere centered over Canada, plenty of colder-than-normal air, an intensifying upper-level trough over the central and eastern US, and Hurricane Melissa. There is quite likely going to be some kind of interaction between the inland upper-level trough and the western Atlantic Ocean hurricane, and a “late in the game” turn to the northwest by the tropical system cannot be completely ruled out.
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