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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

**El Nino on the way...could be one of the strongest in the last 50 years...big (inhibiting) impact likely on the Atlantic Basin tropical season...potential effects next winter...historical context**

Paul Dorian

As noted in the 2026 Tropical Outlook, El Nino is going to be a major player with respect to the upcoming tropical season in the Atlantic Basin and signs are increasingly pointing to one of the strongest episodes in the last 50 years. The most powerful El Nino events in recent history took place in 1982-1983, 1997-1998, and during 2015-2016, and this upcoming occurrence could rival all of them in terms of its magnitude. Not only have surface water temperatures climbed dramatically in recent days across the tropical Pacific Ocean, but some very warm water relative-to-normal lurks just beneath the surface…and it is “bubbling” up to the top. El Nino will have worldwide impacts during the summer and fall seasons and likely be a big inhibiting factor to the Atlantic Basin tropical season due to increased subsidence and wind shear (hostile conditions for tropical systems). Should El Nino continue into the first part of 2027 - and odds are quite good from this vantage point - it could have big implications on the winter season across the continental US...something we’ll monitor in the months to come.

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*The role of the weather in the Hindenburg disaster of May 6th, 1937*

Paul Dorian

Weather played an important role in the 1912 disaster of the sinking of the RMS Titanic, and it likely played a direct role in another disaster that took place 25 years later – at least that is the prevailing belief. On May 6th, 1937, while the German passenger airship LZ 129 Hindenburg was attempting to land at the Lakehurst Naval Air Station in New Jersey, a flame appeared on the outer cover of the rear of the ship. Within 34 seconds, the entire airship was consumed by fire and the golden age of airship travel was over.

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6:00 AM | ****A major snow event continues...heavy, wet snow and difficult travel conditions****

Paul Dorian

A major snow event continues

Much colder air moved into the area on Tuesday, and a significant snowstorm will bring as much as 6-10 inches of heavy, wet snow to the Denver metro region with even higher amounts near the foothills. Travel will be tricky; especially during the morning hours with temperatures hovering near the freezing mark in many areas. As is typical this time of year, the unusual cold will give way to milder conditions by week’s end.

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6:00 AM | **Beneficial rainfall on the way...showers today and tonight...threat again on Saturday....threat again on Sunday night and Monday**

Paul Dorian

A cold front approaches the region today and it will bring us some beneficial rainfall with a shower threat from later this morning on through the evening hours. The front stalls out on Thursday and low pressure will form along the boundary zone; however, the best chance for showers will be just to our south and east. High pressure takes back control of the weather to close out the work week on Friday and then the next disturbance can produce some shower activity around here on Saturday and yet another system on Sunday night and Monday.

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6:00 AM | **Beneficial rainfall on the way...showers today and tonight...threat again on Saturday....threat again on Sunday night and Monday**

Paul Dorian

A cold front approaches the region today and it will bring us some beneficial rainfall with a shower threat from later this morning on through the evening hours. The front stalls out on Thursday and low pressure will form along the boundary zone; however, the best chance for showers will be just to our south and east. High pressure takes back control of the weather to close out the work week on Friday and then the next disturbance can produce some shower activity around here on Saturday and yet another system on Sunday night and Monday.

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6:00 AM | **Beneficial rainfall on the way...showers today and tonight...threat again on Saturday....threat again on Sunday night and Monday**

Paul Dorian

A cold front approaches the region today and it will bring us some beneficial rainfall with a shower threat from this morning on through the evening hours. The front stalls out on Thursday and low pressure will form along the boundary zone; however, the best chance for showers will be just to our south and east. High pressure takes back control of the weather to close out the work week on Friday and then the next disturbance can produce some shower activity around here on Saturday and yet another system on Sunday night and Monday.

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6:00 AM | ****A major snow event is on the way...several inches of heavy, wet snow from tonight into mid-day Wednesday****

Paul Dorian

A major snow event is on the way

Much colder air moves into the area today and a significant storm will bring rain and then a mix of rain and snow and then all snow from tonight to midday Wednesday. As much as 6-10 inches of heavy, wet snow are on the table – even in the metro region – and significant travel disruptions are likely. As is typical this time of year, the unusual cold will give way to milder conditions by week’s end.

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6:00 AM | *Cold front approaches at mid-week bringing occasional showers...maybe a thunderstorm*

Paul Dorian

Becoming quite breezy and warm today in the Mid-Atlantic region on the backside of a high pressure system which is located to the east of here and afternoon temperatures should reach the lower 80’s. A cold front will approach the area at mid-week and low pressure will then form along the slow-moving frontal boundary zone on Thursday. As a result, occasional showers are likely here tomorrow and tomorrow night - maybe a thunderstorm as well - and there can be a few lingering showers on Thursday. High pressure takes back control of the weather to close out the work week on Friday and then a weak disturbance can produce some shower activity here at the beginning of the upcoming weekend.

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