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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | *A nice day in the Mid-Atlantic region with plenty of sunshine and a pleasant afternoon...cooler on Wednesday following the passage of a "back door" cold front*

Paul Dorian

Today will be a nice day throughout the Mid-Atlantic region with plenty of sunshine and afternoon high temperatures well above normal for this time of year. A “back door” cold front will bring cooler air back to the region for tomorrow as low-level winds switch to a north-northeast direction. (I refer to this kind of cold front as a “back door” since it “sneaks in” from our northeast instead of the more conventional approach from the west). Temperatures will surge to milder levels at the end of the week and it’ll stay quite mild through the upcoming weekend. The weekend becomes wet, however, with showers possible from late Saturday through the day on Sunday and some of that rain can be heavy at times.

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7:00 AM | *"Spring-fever alert" type weather for this afternoon and Tuesday...cooler on Wednesday and Thursday...temperatures surge to much milder levels again for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday*

Paul Dorian

Spring-fever alert” type weather is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region for this afternoon and Tuesday as temperatures climb to well above-normal levels following a chilly weekend. A back door cold front will usher in cooler conditions for Wednesday and Thursday and then temperatures will surge to much milder levels again for the Friday/Saturday/Sunday time period. A strong front is likely to result in rain around here by late Saturday and especially Sunday and some of that rain can turn out to be heavy at times.

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6:15 AM | *Warmer next week with high pressure dominating the eastern states...turn clocks ahead time*

Paul Dorian

It remains windy and chilly today in the wake of a secondary cold frontal passage on Thursday afternoon with gusts of 30+ mph on the table. A weak system will pass by tonight and it can produce a few rain and/or snow showers, but nothing significant. Widespread warming across the middle of the nation will spread east next week and it’ll produce “spring-fever alert” type weather here with high temperatures likely in the 70’s by mid-week. One final note, it is time this weekend to turn the clocks ahead an hour to switch back to Daylight Savings Time.

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6:15 AM | *Windy and cooler today with gusts to 50 mph possible...big-time warmup next week can bring us 75 degree highs by Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front passed through the region last night and it has ushered in a noticeably cooler air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region. Winds will become very strong later today from a west-to-northwest direction as a secondary cold front crosses the region….gusts to 50 mph are possible. A weak system will push into the area on Friday night with a rain and/or snow shower possible and the weekend looks to be on the chilly side for early March.

Looking ahead, a big-time warmup is on the way for next week which can feature high temperatures near 75 degrees by Wednesday (not quite done with the cold shots though). One final note, this weekend is that time once again to push clocks forward an hour as we flip back to Daylight Savings Time.

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11:00 AM | ***Strong-to-severe thunderstorm threat this afternoon into tonight along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor...downpours likely...possible damaging wind gusts***

Paul Dorian

Ingredients are in place for strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity later today into early tonight along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor which will include downpours and the possibility of damaging wind gusts. In addition, a few isolated tornadoes are on the table later today in the Mid-Atlantic region and an enhanced risk of tornadoes will take place farther to the south from southeastern Virginia into the Carolinas. Meanwhile, in the storm’s cold sector, there are blizzard conditions today across portions of Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin where 60+ mph winds can cause considerable blowing and drifting of snow.

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6:15 AM | ****Strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table for later today/early tonight...downpours likely...possible damaging wind gusts****

Paul Dorian

Strong-to-severe thunderstorms are possible later today into early tonight as a strong low pressure system heads to the Great Lakes. There will be occasional showers here today along with afternoon/evening thunderstorms and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Any thunderstorm that forms from mid-day on through the evening hours can result in damaging wind gusts and hail. In addition, isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out in the Mid-Atlantic; primarily, in areas to the south of the PA/MD border. It turns cooler and remains windy on Thursday following the late night passage of a strong cold front and gusts can surpass 45 mph or so. Looking ahead, the weekend will be chilly, but a big warmup next week could bring temperatures to the 70 degree mark in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.

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12:20 PM | ***Severe weather today focused on Lower Mississippi Valley/central Gulf coast...threat shifts to the east coast on Wednesday***

Paul Dorian

Ingredients are in place for a severe weather outbreak today and tonight with its focus on the Lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf coast. There is a high risk of damaging wind gusts in this scenario and tornadoes are certainly on the table with the possibility of a few strong ones. This threat shifts to the east coast on Wednesday where damaging wind gusts, heavy downpours, and even isolated tornadoes will be a possibility from the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast US.

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6:15 AM | ***Windy and warmer on Wednesday with a soaking rainfall...a possible strong-to-severe thunderstorm as well***

Paul Dorian

A spring-like storm is on the way for the Mid-Atlantic region with windy and warmer conditions on Wednesday, a soaking rainfall, and a possible strong-to-severe thunderstorm. This same storm system will result in an enhanced risk of severe weather later today and tonight across the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley regions. The main risk both today in the Mississippi Valley and tomorrow in the Mid-Atlantic’s DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor will be for damaging wind gusts; however, isolated tornadoes are certainly on the table as well. It’ll turn cooler on Thursday and Friday behind the passage of a strong cold front and high pressure will build back into to the area.

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9:45 AM | ***Severe weather next three days…today’s threat TX-OK-to-KS…enhanced risk tomorrow centered over Lower/Middle MS Valley…threat shifts to east coast at mid-week***

Paul Dorian

The month of March is now underway and it certainly can feature multiple severe weather outbreaks as the air becomes increasingly warm and humid across the southern states at the same time colder-than-normal air masses continue to push south and east from Canada into the US. The ingredients are falling into place for severe weather during each of the next three days as indeed colder-than-normal air from the western states will push eastward into a warmer-than-normal air mass that today will be centered over the central states. The main threat zone for severe weather today is likely to extend from Texas-to-Oklahoma-to-Kansas and then an enhanced risk is likely on Tuesday centered over the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley region. Spring-like storm conditions will reach the eastern states on Wednesday with windy, warmer weather, soaking rainfall, and the potential of strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity.

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6:15 AM | ***Spring-like storm at mid-week...windy, warmer, a soaking rainfall and maybe a strong-to-severe thunderstorm***

Paul Dorian

A spring-like storm is on the way for the middle of the week with soaking rainfall, windy and warmer conditions, and a possible strong thunderstorm as well. After a cold Monday and a milder Tuesday, temperatures will soar on Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front possibly reaching 65 degrees. It’ll turn windy and cooler behind the front on Thursday and Friday with high temperatures closer to 50 degrees as high pressure returns to the region.

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