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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

****Ian returns to hurricane status as it heads towards landfall on Friday in South Carolina…remnants of Ian to bring heavy rain, gusty winds to the Mid-Atlantic later Friday and this weekend****

Paul Dorian

Ian has returned to hurricane status on Thursday evening over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream in the western Atlantic Ocean. It is likely to make another landfall as a hurricane…this time in South Carolina and likely near Charleston at mid-day. Rain from Ian’s remains will push northward into the Mid-Atlantic region late tomorrow and continue into the weekend and some of the rain will be heavy at times along with gusty winds.

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*****Slow-moving and catastrophic Hurricane Ian impacts Florida...extreme rainfall/damaging winds/isolated tornadoes/dangerous storm surge...heavy rain/strong winds to move up thru eastern US*****

Paul Dorian

In a storm that will rival the great hurricane of 1921 for its impact on west-central Florida, Hurricane Ian has climbed to category 4 (“major”) status and will unfortunately likely have a devastating impact on the state from today into Thursday. Although there is some wind shear in the vicinity of the storm, Hurricane Ian is large, powerful, and a slow-mover which will exacerbate the effects of torrential rain, powerful winds and a dangerous storm surge on the western side. The hurricane will cross central Florida and then ride up just off the northeast Florida coastline and likely return as a tropical storm somewhere near the Georgia/South Carolina later Friday. The remnant heavy rain and strong winds of Ian will push up through the eastern US late this week and this weekend with impacts all the way to the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | *One more very hot day then some relief for later this week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure in the upper part of the atmosphere over the center of the nation will continue to generate hot weather across the Tennessee Valley with afternoon highs well up in the 90’s. The passage of a frontal system will bring relief for the second half of the week with highs by Friday afternoon likely closer to the 80 degree mark than the 95 expected later today.

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11:20 AM | **The latest on “major” Hurricane Fiona and a look ahead to the next tropical threat**

Paul Dorian

After pounding Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic on Monday, Hurricane Fiona has intensified into the season’s first “major” hurricane with category 3 classification and can attain category 4 status over the next few days as it gradually turns to the northeast. On this track, Hurricane Fiona will come close to Bermuda by early Friday and become increasingly influenced by an amplifying upper-level ridge over the northeastern US. This upper-level trough will result in the coolest air mass of the season so far in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US and ultimately could cause Fiona to pull back towards the Canadian Maritime Provinces this weekend with the potential of a direct impact. Meanwhile, another tropical system is organizing east of the Windward Islands and it has a chance of intensifying over the warm Caribbean Sea during the next several days and ultimately, could become a threat to the Gulf of Mexico region.

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7:00 AM | *Two more hot days across the Tennessee Valley, but relief arrives later in the week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure in the upper part of the atmosphere over the center of the nation will continue to generate hot weather across the Tennessee Valley with afternoon well up in the 90’s both today and Wednesday. The passage of a frontal system will bring relief for the second half of the week with highs by Friday afternoon likely close to the 80 degree mark.

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7:00 AM | *Very hot weather by mid-week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure in the upper part of the atmosphere will be centered over the southern Plains and strengthen in coming days which will result in hot weather once again for the Tennessee Valley. Temperatures later today will reach the 90 degree mark and then likely well up into the 90’s on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

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7:00 Am | *Back to 90 degree highs for Sunday/Monday*

Paul Dorian

The weather pattern will continue to result in dry conditions around here as we go through the weekend and into the first half of next week. Temperatures will gradually increase during the next few days with afternoon highs likely to back near the 90 degree mark by Sunday and Monday.

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2:00 PM | **Tropical Storm Fiona to impact Caribbean islands this weekend…differing storm tracks thereafter are discussed with the most likely scenario in my opinion**

Paul Dorian

We have reached the mid-point of September and this is climatologically-speaking right around the peak time of the Atlantic Basin tropical season. True to form, there is a now a tropical storm named “Fiona” over the central Atlantic and it is likely to impact the Caribbean islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola later this weekend. Beyond that, it is somewhat unclear as to where Fiona will travel with one scenario featuring a continued movement to the west and towards the Gulf of Mexico and a second possibility with a “curvature to the north” over the Bahamas and then the western Atlantic off the eastern seaboard.

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7:00 AM | *Back to within a few degrees of the 90 degree mark for highs this weekend and early next week*

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern for the reminder of the week and upcoming weekend will feature dry conditions which is a welcome relief from some on the recent rainfall in the northern part of Alabama. Strong high pressure headed for the northeastern states will influence be a controlling factor resulting in rain-free conditions for the next several days.

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7:00 AM | *Dry weather pattern for the remainder of the week*

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern for the reminder of the week and weekend will feature dry conditions which is a welcome relief from some on the recent rainfall in the northern part of Alabama. Strong high pressure headed for the northeastern states will influence our weather as well resulting in rain-free conditions for the next several days.

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