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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

11:00 AM (Monday) | *Some snow this afternoon and early tonight in SE PA with the highest amounts confined to eastern Bucks County…central/northern NJ and NYC metro region to get hit hard*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure is located off the New Jersey coastline at mid-day and it will intensify over the next several hours as upper-level energy moves in overhead.  Mixed precipitation is rotating around the surface low and will become mainly snow this afternoon and evening as colder air wraps into the system.  Some snow will fall today and tonight in the Philly metro region, but the highest amounts will likely be confined to eastern Bucks County near the Delaware River and to the north and east of there which will put the northern half of New Jersey and the NYC metro region in prime zones for more significant accumulations from this western Atlantic storm. Little to no snow accumulation is likely in Chester County (SE PA) and in areas to the south of the PA/MD border.

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6:00 AM | ****Accumulating snow here today and tonight...evening rush hour can be a mess...significant amounts possible in the Hudson Valley and interior northern NJ****

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will spin around today off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and this will allow colder air will wrap into the system and push well to the south and east. As a result, any rain or wintry mix around here early today will change over to snow and the snow is likely to continue at varying rates into the overnight hours. One thing we'll have to watch for with this system are small-scale bands of heavy snowfall that are likely to form and any of these can generate much higher localized amounts. There may be quite a sharp gradient of snowfall totals from the metro area to the far northern and western suburbs with 3-6 inches in the metro region by late tonight and 6+ inches in the Lower Hudson Valley (NY) and interior sections of northern NJ. The weather calms down on Tuesday and remains relatively quiet for much of the remainder of the week and moderately cold for the beginning of December.

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1:00 PM (Sunday) | ***Ice/rain/snow today...accumulating snow tomorrow; primarily, north of the PA/MD border...intense mesoscale snow bands are likely in some spots with significant accumulations***

Paul Dorian

A long duration winter weather event is underway in the Mid-Atlantic region with a cold “plain” rain south of the PA/MD border, freezing rain and sleet across southeast and east-central PA, and snow is a factor in northeastern PA, interior upstate NJ and in the NYC metro region. As colder air wraps around a very slowly moving and intensifying low pressure system later tonight, accumulating snow will become an increasingly important factor for most areas and accumulations are likely; especially, north of the PA/MD border.  In fact, there is the chance that some spots in the Mid-Atlantic region experience significant snowfall amounts on Monday and Monday night as intense mesoscale heavy snow bands are likely to form during this event.

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12:30 PM (Saturday) | ***Long duration winter weather event...sleet/freezing rain on the front end...accumulating snow on the back end...mesoscale heavy snow bands likely in some spots on Monday***

Paul Dorian

The major storm that slammed into the west coast a few days ago will result in a long duration winter weather event for the Mid-Atlantic region from late tonight into Monday night.  This system is now generating blizzard conditions across the Dakotas and heavy snow will extend into the Upper Midwest later today and tonight.  The upper-level feature associated with this storm has made its farthest push to the north into South Dakota and it will now be forced to shift to the east-southeast by an “atmospheric roadblock” in the form of upper-level high pressure ridging over southern Canada. The end result will be a cold air mass stuck in place in the lowest levels of the Mid-Atlantic region when precipitation arrives late tonight/early Sunday and this will lead to a period of sleet and/or freezing rain at the onset of this long duration event in much of the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.  A change to plain rain is likely in many areas along the immediate I-95 corridor later tomorrow and there even be a slackening off of the precipitation early tomorrow night.  Late tomorrow night and during the day on Monday, colder air will wrap around into intensifying low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and this will result in a changeover to snow in most areas and significant snow accumulations are possible; primarily, north of the PA/MD border. 

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2:00 PM (Friday) | ****Long duration winter weather event coming to the Mid-Atlantic region...begins Saturday night as ice/snow and ends late Monday with accumulating snow****

Paul Dorian

The major storm that slammed into the west coast a couple of days ago will result in a long duration winter weather event for the Mid-Atlantic region from later this weekend into early next week.  This system now over the interior western US will head northeast towards the Northern Plains over the next day or so and will generate significant snow this weekend from the Northern Rockies to the Upper Midwest.  It is at this point in time that this system will run into an “atmospheric roadblock” in the form of upper-level high pressure ridging over southern Canada and switch from a northeasterly direction to east-southeast. The end result will be a cold air mass in place in the Mid-Atlantic region when precipitation arrives later Saturday night and low pressure is likely to spin just off the coastline as late as late in the day on Monday.  This long lasting winter weather event could feature some ice and/or snow accumulations at the front end for much of the Mid-Atlantic region – perhaps plain rain for awhile in the middle – and then potentially significant accumulating snow on the back end.   

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12:15 PM (Wed) | ***Western US storm to run into an “atmospheric roadblock” and be “forced” to slide southeast towards the Mid-Atlantic/NE US coastline…result will be snow and ice on Sunday/Monday***

Paul Dorian

One strong storm is producing heavy snowfall across the Upper Midwest today and it’ll generate some very strong winds later today into Thursday in a large section of the country extending from the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic/NE US.  Another powerful storm continues to wreak havoc across much of the western third of the nation with heavy coastal rain and significant inland snows.  This second system will push to the northeast over the next couple of days, but once it reaches the Dakotas, it’ll run into an “atmospheric roadblock” and be “forced” to slide southeast towards the Mid-Atlantic/NE US coastline by later this weekend into early next week.  The result of this storm track will allow for cold air to be in place in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US when the storm arrives later this weekend and this raises the chance for snow and ice.  The threat for snow and ice will continue into Monday for this part of the nation as the surface low spins around just off the coastline of the Mid-Atlantic/NE US.

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7:00 AM | **Strong winds late tonight and Thursday...snow and ice a threat this weekend into early next week**

Paul Dorian

One major storm is bringing heavy snowfall to the Upper Midwest today and another major storm is impacting the western US with coastal rains and inland snows. The first storm will push quickly in an eastward direction and end up near coastal Maine by tomorrow morning. This system will drag a cold front through our area this evening and it'll become increasingly windy in the overnight hours. Those winds will intensify on Thursday following the frontal passage and can gust past 40 mph on Turkey Day. The second major storm will head northeastward towards the Dakotas later in the week and then run into an “atmospheric roadblock” and be forced to take a turn to the southeast this weekend and head right towards the Mid-Atlantic coastline. Precipitation from this second system will probably arrive here late Saturday night and it is likely to be cold enough for snow and/or ice for at least part of this upcoming precipitation event that may last into Monday.

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1:10 PM (Tuesday) | ***Significant snow from the Rockies to Upper Midwest...heavy rain, damaging winds and inland snows in CA/OR...ice/snow likely this weekend in Mid-Atlantic/NE US***

Paul Dorian

One major storm is bringing heavy snowfall to parts of the Rocky Mountains and central Plains and another is about to slam into the west coast of the US.  Heavy snow from the first storm continues across the Rockies and has stretched into the central Plains and it’ll make a push into the Upper Midwest on Wednesday.  This same system will then head eastward and drag a strong cold front across the Mid-Atlantic/NE US tomorrow evening and the winds will become quite strong with gusts past 40 mph. The second major storm will rapidly intensify before making landfall later tonight near the California/Oregon border and it will bring heavy rain and damaging winds to coastal sections and tremendous snows to inland higher elevation locations of the Sierra Nevada mountain range where the snow will be measured in feet over the next few days. This second storm will cross the nation and arrive in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US this weekend where there will be a lot of cold air and accumulating ice and snow could be the result in interior sections. 

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7:00 AM | **Two big storms to impact the nation this week...strong winds here later tomorrow into Thanksgiving Day...ice/snow possible here this weekend**

Paul Dorian

Two powerful weather systems will impact the nation over the next few days which includes the big travel day tomorrow and Turkey Day on Thursday. The first system is already bringing heavy snow to the Rocky Mountain States and this storm will intensify rapidly as it heads towards the Upper Midwest on Wednesday. The result will be a wide swath of significant accumulating snow from Denver to Minneapolis - just in time for Thanksgiving Day. Another storm will become a powerhouse for the west coast and it will bring significant rain and potentially damaging winds to coastal sections and heavy mountain snows measured by the foot to the Sierra Nevada. This storm will arrive tonight near the California/Oregon border and then will begin to gradually weaken as it moves inland.

In the local region, the first storm will drag a cold front through here at mid-week and we’ll likely experience very strong winds from later Wednesday into Thursday, Thanksgiving Day. The second storm will cross the country and impact us here this weekend. Enough cold air will be around to raise the possibility of ice and/or snow at the onset of the weekend precipitation event likely in the late Saturday/early Sunday time frame.

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