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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | *Rain closes out the work week...chilly weekend to follow*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will push off the east coast today and it’ll turn a bit warmer around here as low-level winds shift to a southerly direction. Low pressure will track across southern Canada over the next 24 hours and will push a strong cold front to I-95 corridor. Low pressure will form along this frontal boundary zone on Friday and the result will be occasional rain as we close out the work week and it'll last into tomorrow night. High pressure returns to the Mid-Atlantic region this weekend as a chilly air mass moves in and it should stay dry through the early part of next week.

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7:00 AM | *A couple of nice days for the metro region and then a likely significant rain event for later Friday into Friday night*

Paul Dorian

Following the passage of a weak cold front in the overnight hours, high pressure will resume control of our weather today and the next two days should feature plenty of sunshine in the Mid-Atlantic region. A strong cold front will approach the region on Friday and it’ll team up with a deepening upper-level low to likely result in a significant rain event to close out the work week along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. Following the passage of the cold front, a cool air mass will push into the region for the upcoming weekend with sunshine likely to return for both weekend days.

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7:00 AM | *Next significant rain event likely comes on Friday*

Paul Dorian

Showers will linger this morning in the metro region and a weak cold front will keep us mainly cloudy this afternoon although it'll turn a bit warmer than yesterday. High pressure will resume control of our weather tonight and the next couple of days should feature plenty of sunshine with rain-free conditions. Another front will head our way at the end of the week and it will be supported by a strong wave of energy in the upper part of the atmosphere. As a result, Friday could turn out to feature plenty of rainfall in the I-95 corridor and then a chilly air mass will move in for the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Rain continues today in the Mid-Atlantic region with the remains of "Delta"*

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Hurricane “Delta” have combined with a stalled out frontal system to produce significant rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region and it will continue here today at the start of the new work week. Another weak cold front will arrive on Tuesday with a possible shower or two and then high pressure takes control of our weather at mid-week. A strong cold front should drop southeastward into the Mid-Atlantic region by the end of the week and pave the way for quite a chilly weekend for the middle of October.

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9:30 AM (Friday) | *Hurricane “Delta” to make landfall early this evening in the southwestern part of Louisiana…remnants to bring significant rain to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley, Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” is currently a category 3 “major” hurricane on its way for a landfall in southwestern Louisiana early this evening. There is a chance for some weakening of Hurricane “Delta” in the last few hours before landfall – perhaps from a category 3 to a category 2 storm – as it will push over cooler waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico. After landfall, Hurricane “Delta” will weaken quickly; however, its remnants will bring some significant rainfall to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and as far north and east as the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into Monday.

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7:00 AM | *Hurricane "Delta" churning towards the southwestern part of Louisiana*

Paul Dorian

High pressure to our north will control the weather around here again today providing us with another day of sunshine and comfortable temperatures. In fact, this same high pressure system will hang on for the first day of the weekend, but then attention will turn to our southwest where the moisture field associated with the remains of Hurricane “Delta” will be pushing in our direction. Hurricane “Delta” is likely to make landfall late today in the southwestern part of Louisiana which is the same area that experienced a direct hit by Hurricane ‘Laura” back in mid-August. After Hurricane “Delta” makes landfall, it will weaken quickly and become increasingly influenced by a developing mid-level trough over the south-central US which should cause it to turn to the northeast and this will result in significant rainfall across the Deep South and Tennessee Valley. By the latter part of the weekend, the remains of Hurricane “Delta” are likely to result in a decent rainfall for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.

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10:45 AM (Thurs.) | *Hurricane “Delta” heading towards southwestern Louisiana with landfall likely late tomorrow…remnants to bring rain to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” pounded the northeastern part of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula yesterday morning and its encounter with the land mass weakened the tropical cyclone from a category 4 “major” storm to a category 1. Since then, Hurricane “Delta” has moved out over the warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico into an area with more favorable atmospheric conditions and has re-intensified into category 2 status with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. In this favorable environment with low vertical wind shear and deep moisture, Hurricane “Delta” could return to “major” hurricane status (i.e., category 3 or higher) as it churns towards a likely landfall late Friday in the southwestern part of Louisiana. After landfall, Hurricane “Delta” will weaken quickly, but its remnants will bring some significant rainfall to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and as far north and east as the Mid-Atlantic region by the Sunday/Monday time frame.

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7:00 AM | *Hurricane "Delta" headed for the north-central Gulf coast...could bring rain here by the late weekend*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the region and it ushered in a cooler air mass for the Mid-Atlantic as high pressure build to our northwest. This same high pressure system will control our weather through the first half of the weekend, but then attention turns to our southwest where moisture will be pushing towards us associated with the remains of Hurricane “Delta”. The remnants of “Delta” could produce rainfall around here from Sunday into Monday and then a strong frontal system could produce additional rain around here by the middle of next week.

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2:30 PM (Wednesday) | *Hurricane “Delta” a major threat to the north-central Gulf coast after pounding the Yucatan Peninsula…remnants to bring rainfall to much of southern and eastern US*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” pounded the northeastern part of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula this morning as a category 2 storm and is now entering the southern part of the Gulf of Mexico. After its bump into with the Yucatan Peninsula, Hurricane “Delta” will encounter favorable conditions for intensification as it churns northwest over the still warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico in an environment with low wind shear and high moisture content. As such, Hurricane “Delta” is likely to re-intensify into “major” hurricane status as it heads on a path towards the north-central Gulf coast - and perhaps right to the same region that experienced the landfall of Hurricane Laura earlier this tropical season. After landfall likely on Friday, the remains of Hurricane “Delta” are then likely to push to the north and east bringing significant rainfall to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and perhaps to the Mid-Atlantic region late in the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | **"Delta" a major threat to the north-central Gulf coast...could bring us rain by Sunday/Monday**

Paul Dorian

High pressure will control the weather again today providing us with plenty of sunshine a warmer conditions compared to Tuesday. Strong low pressure will pass by well to our northwest later in the day and drag a cool front through the area ushering in cooler air for the next couple of days. High pressure will then resume control at the end of the week and for the beginning part of the weekend – after that, attention will turn to the southern states. Hurricane “Delta” has rapidly intensified during the past couple of days and may have a direct impact on the north-central Gulf coastal region by the early part of the weekend. Once inland, the remnants of Hurricane “Delta” are likely to run to the north and east bringing significant rainfall to the Deep South and Tennessee Valley. In fact, the remains of “Delta” could result in some rainfall around here by the late stages of the upcoming weekend.

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