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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | *Milder Pacific Ocean air on the march across the eastern half of the nation*

Paul Dorian

As high pressure shifts to the southeastern states over the next few days, milder Pacific Ocean air will advance from west-to-east into the Mid-Atlantic region. As a result, a gradual warming trend will bring our temperatures to near 50 degrees by tomorrow afternoon and then likely into the 50’s on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. The milder weather pattern will become increasingly moist by the weekend and there will be a good chance of showers on Saturday to close out the month and the year of 2022. The weekend can close out quite mild on Sunday (New Year’s Day) with some sunshine and temperatures climbing to near the 60 degree mark.

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7:00 AM | *Arctic air in retreat...mild, moist Pacific air on the advance*

Paul Dorian

The Arctic air mass that brought frigid temperatures to the region the past few days will retreat and milder air from the Pacific Ocean is headed in this direction.  In fact, the warm up intensifies by the weekend so that temperatures around here on Friday, Saturday and Sunday should climb to the 50’s for highs. The warm up will become increasingly moist as well and rain is likely this weekend in much of the eastern US.

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7:00 AM | *****Intense Arctic blast arrives this morning...temperatures will crash in the immediate aftermath of the frontal passage...bitter cold weekend to follow*****

Paul Dorian

The leading edge of an intensely cold Arctic air mass will reach the NYC metro region late this morning. The powerful Arctic surface front will have quite a dramatic passage with strong and potentially damaging winds shifting to a W-NW direction, plunging temperatures as much as 30+ degrees in just a short period of time and this can cause a quick freeze-up or “flash freeze” of any lingering wet spots on roadways from the prior rainfall. In addition, there can be a burst of snow in the immediate aftermath of the frontal passage potentially producing a quick accumulation of a coating to an inch or two adding to the potential difficult travel conditions. Temperatures will continue to drop sharply later today and tonight bottoming out in the single digits by early Saturday morning and winds will remain very strong producing dangerous wind chill values of well below zero. This will turn out to be the coldest Christmas Eve (Saturday) and Christmas Day (Sunday) in many years across much of the eastern half of the country.

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10:00 AM | ****Buckle up…wild and crazy weather next 36 hours in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US****

Paul Dorian

Buckle up…the next 36 hours or so in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US will feature some wild and crazy weather to include the following:

-heavy rain including thunderstorms

-localized flash flooding

-a surge in temperatures to the 50’s

-extreme plunge in temperatures to the single digits

-flash-freeze

-a burst of snow with small accumulations

-powerful and potentially damaging wind gusts

All of this weather can take place between about noon today and midnight tomorrow night headlined by a soaking rain event into early Friday and then the arrival of an intensely cold Arctic air mass later Friday morning.

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7:00 AM | ****Soaking rain event until early Friday...Arctic blast arrives late morning on Friday...plunging temperatures, strong wind gusts, "flash-freeze" and a burst of snow****

Paul Dorian

Rain will arrive during the mid-day or early afternoon hours and will become heavy at times later in the day. The rain will continue into early Friday morning and there can be a thunderstorm or two mixed into this soaking rain event. It’ll turn milder later today and winds will become increasingly strong pushing in the milder air. A powerful Arctic front will arrive here during the late morning on Friday and temperatures will drop dramatically on its back side – perhaps by more than 30 degrees in a short period of time. Winds will remain strong behind the front shifting to a W-NW direction and gusting to 50 mph or so. A quick freeze-up is possible on Friday of any wet spots that remain on the roadways from the prior rainfall. A burst of snow is likely immediately behind the frontal passage which can quickly generate a coating to an inch or two - adding to the potential difficulty in overall travel conditions. Temperatures may bottom out near 10 degrees by early Saturday morning (Christmas Eve) and the frigid weather will continue through Christmas Day (Sunday). Winds will stay quite strong through much of the weekend adding to the suffering of the upcoming “face-slapping” Arctic cold.

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2:20 PM | ****Arctic air mass drops south to Texas then shifts east…reaches I-95 corridor late morning/mid-day on Friday...plunging temperatures, damaging winds, flash freeze, burst of snow****

Paul Dorian

The core of an intensely cold Arctic air mass is now getting ready to plunge southward to Texas by later tomorrow and then it’ll shift to the eastern states on Friday.  Numerous low temperature records are likely to be set over the next couple of days as this air mass makes its way across the nation. Blizzard conditions will accompany this advancing Arctic air outbreak over much of the eastern half of the country with the Great Lakes region likely to experience some of the worst weather with an extended period of extreme conditions from Friday into late weekend. 

The powerful Arctic frontal system that represents the leading edge of this intensely cold air mass will reach the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor during the late morning/mid-day on Friday.  Temperatures will drop dramatically in the wake of the frontal passage some 30+ degrees in a short period of time. Any wet spots on roadways from prior rainfall could freeze-up in a hurry.  There will be very strong wind gusts on Friday and a burst of snow is likely immediately behind the frontal passage that can produce a quick coating to an inch or two.  A frigid weekend will follow with Christmas Eve (Saturday) and Christmas Day (Sunday) the coldest in many years across much of the eastern half of the nation. Single digits are likely in many spots along the I-95 corridor both on Saturday and Sunday mornings.

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7:00 AM | ****Soaking rain tomorrow into Friday morning...powerful Arctic front arrives here mid-day/early afternoon on Friday...dramatic change to follow its passage****

Paul Dorian

Strong low pressure will develop on Thursday in the eastern US and it will push much milder air into the Mid-Atlantic region on increasingly strong S-SE winds. There is a chance, however, that enough cold air will be lingering around early tomorrow to result in a brief period of snow and/or ice in some of the northern and western suburbs; however, temperatures should climb to well above freezing levels by later in the day.  The rain can indeed fall heavily at times from later tomorrow into Friday morning and a thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.  This surge of mild air will likely peak on Friday morning with temperatures likely in the 50’s, but that warmth will disappear abruptly during the afternoon hours on Friday.

The strong Arctic frontal system that represents the leading edge of an intensely cold Arctic air mass will reach the NYC metro region likely during the mid-day or early afternoon hours on Friday.  The passage of this powerful Arctic surface cold front will not go unnoticed.  On the table will be plunging temperatures on the order of 25 or 30 degrees in a short period of time, powerful and potentially damaging wind gusts, a possible “flash-freeze”, and even a burst of snow that can put down a quick small accumulation.  A frigid weekend will follow with Christmas Eve (Saturday) and Christmas Day (Sunday) the coldest for the holidays in many years across much of the eastern half of the nation. Single digits are certainly a possibility in the N/W suburbs along the I-95 corridor both on Saturday and Sunday mornings.

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2:00 PM | ****Arctic air mass drops south to Texas…Arctic front reaches I-95 corridor mid-day/afternoon on Friday...plunging temperatures, damaging winds, quick freeze, even a burst of snow****

Paul Dorian

The core of an intensely cold Arctic air mass is now penetrating the northwest and north-central parts of the nation, and it will drop southward towards Texas during the next 48 hours. After that, the Arctic air mass will shift to the east and reach the eastern seaboard by late Friday.  Numerous low temperature records are likely to be set over the next few days; especially, in the central US from the Canadian border to the Mexican border. Blizzard conditions will accompany this advancing Arctic air outbreak during the next few days over many sections of the country with the Great Lakes region likely to experience some of the worst with an extended period of extreme conditions from Friday into much of the upcoming weekend. 

The strong Arctic frontal system that represents the leading edge of this intensely cold air mass will likely reach the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor during the mid-day and afternoon hours on Friday.  The passage of the powerful Arctic front will not go unnoticed.  On the table will be plunging temperatures on the order of 25 or 30 degrees in a short period of time, powerful and potentially damaging wind gusts, a possible “flash-freeze”, and even a burst of snow that can put down a quick small accumulation of a coating to an inch or two  A frigid weekend will follow with Christmas Eve (Saturday) and Christmas Day (Sunday) the coldest in many years in much of the eastern half of the nation. Single digits are certainly a possibility along the I-95 corridor both on Saturday and Sunday mornings.

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7:00 AM | ****Soaking rain event with strong winds from Thursday into Friday...can begin as a wintry mix...dramatic Arctic frontal passage on Friday afternoon...very cold Christmas weekend****

Paul Dorian

A major Arctic outbreak reached the northern US on Monday and the surface front marking the leading edge of this air mass will likely makes its arrival here on Friday afternoon. Before we get there, a soaking rainfall event is likely here from early Thursday into early Friday and it’ll turn very windy and noticeably milder. In fact, on Friday morning – ahead of the advancing Arctic frontal system – temperatures could peak in the 50’s and winds will be quite strong from a south-to-southeast direction.

Following the passage of the Arctic front on Friday afternoon, winds will remain strong shifting to a W-NW direction and temperatures will plunge by as much as 25 or 30 degrees in just a couple of hours. This sharp drop in temperatures can lead to a “flash freeze” of any lingering wet spots on roadways. In addition, a burst of snow is possible immediately following the frontal passage which can even put down small accumulations in some spots as the Arctic air pours into the region in a still very unstable atmosphere. Christmas Eve (Saturday) and Christmas Day (Sunday) will be very cold throughout the eastern US with some of the coldest weather conditions for these two days in many years. Single digits are on the table in suburban locations both on Saturday morning and again on Sunday morning.

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1:00 PM | ****Major Arctic outbreak reaches northern US…powerful Arctic front reaches I-95 corridor Friday afternoon...damaging winds, "flash-freeze", even a burst of snow…frigid Christmas weekend****

Paul Dorian

A major Arctic air outbreak has reached the interior northwest and north-central states and it will become quite a newsworthy event in coming days. This widespread and intensely cold Arctic air mass will drop southward to Texas by later Thursday and then shift to the east on Friday reaching the eastern seaboard by Friday night. Numerous low temperature records are likely to be set over the next few days; especially, in the central US from the Canadian border to the Mexican border.

At the leading edge of the Arctic air mass will be a powerful surface frontal system that will be very active as it crosses the Great Lakes/Midwest/Ohio Valley from west-to-east. This Arctic front will produce blizzard conditions from the Plains all the way to the Appalachians as it treks west-to-east during the next few days. The powerful Arctic front is likely to arrive in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor region on Friday afternoon and its passage could be quite dramatic. 

Winds will be very strong and potentially damaging for much of the day on Friday in the Mid-Atlantic region both ahead of the Arctic front (S-SE direction) and behind it (W-NW direction)…not a good time for inflatable outdoor decorations. Temperatures will plunge as plunge as much as 25 or 30 degrees behind the front in just a couple of hours from the mild 50’s in the morning to the 20’s by day’s end. This sharp drop in temperatures can result in a “flash freeze” of any lingering wet spots on roadways from prior rainfall.

In addition, a burst of snow is possible immediately following the frontal passage which can even put down small accumulations in some spots as the Arctic air pours into the region in a still very unstable atmosphere. Christmas Eve (Saturday) and Christmas Day (Sunday) will be very cold throughout the eastern US with some of the coldest weather conditions for these two days in many years. Single digits are on the table in suburbs along the I-95 corridor both on Saturday and Sunday (Christmas) mornings.

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