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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information
Lots of patchy fog around this morning and then partial sunshine should return in the afternoon with the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. It turns warmer during the next few days and the warming trend accelerates late in the week and this weekend with upper 80’s possible for afternoon highs.
Read MoreMore beneficial rainfall is headed to the Mid-Atlantic region…high pressure shifts to our east today and low pressure will make a move up the Ohio River Valley and then a new low pressure system will form near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. As a result, rain can push into the area by early tomorrow and the mid-week will feature periods of rain and quite cool conditions as the result of an ocean flow of air. A cold front can produce more shower activity in the region later in the week and even a period of steadier rain is possible from later Friday into Saturday. Temperatures will be well below-normal for the next couple of days for the latter part of May and remain a bit below-normal as we head into the weekend.
Read MoreMore beneficial rainfall is headed to the Mid-Atlantic region…high pressure shifts to our east today and low pressure will make a move up the Ohio River Valley and then a new low pressure system will form near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. As a result, rain can push into the area this afternoon and the mid-week will feature periods of rain and quite cool conditions as the result of an ocean flow of air. A cold front can produce more shower activity in the region later in the week and even a period of steadier rain is possible from later Friday into Saturday. Temperatures will be well below-normal for the next couple of days for the latter part of May and remain a bit below-normal as we head into the weekend.
Read MoreMore beneficial rainfall is headed to the Mid-Atlantic region…high pressure shifts to our east today and low pressure will make a move up the Ohio River Valley and then a new low pressure system will form near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. As a result, rain can push into the area later tonight and the mid-week will feature periods of rain and quite cool conditions as the result of an ocean flow of air. A cold front can produce more shower activity in the region later in the week and even a period of steadier rain is possible from later Friday into Saturday. Temperatures will be well below-normal for the next couple of days for the latter part of May and remain a bit below-normal as we head into the weekend.
Read MoreIt was during the height of the Cold War and a powerful solar storm could have led to a disastrous military conflict between the US and Soviet Union if not for the early efforts of the US Air Force to monitor solar activity. On May 23rd, 1967, a solar storm took place that was so powerful, it jammed radar and radio communications in polar regions and the US Air Force actually began to prepare aircraft for war thinking the nation’s surveillance radars were being jammed by the Soviet Union. Fortunately, space weather forecasters in the military suspected there might be another cause and they relayed information about the possibility that a solar storm could have been the reason for the disrupted radar and radio communications. As it turned out, this information was enough to keep the planes on the ground and the US avoided a potential nuclear weapon exchange with the Soviet Union.
Read MoreWhile global sea surface temperatures continue to run at above-normal levels, there has been a rather dramatic cooling trend across tropical regions all around the world. During the past year or so, water temperatures in the Indian Ocean have dropped to nearly neutral levels around India and well above-normal levels immediately east of Africa have moderated to only slightly above-normal conditions. In the central part of the tropical Pacific Ocean, relatively neutral water temperatures have replaced the El Nino conditions of a year ago when water temperatures were as much as two degrees higher than normal. Perhaps the most dramatic change in water temperatures has taken place in the tropical Atlantic Ocean where much warmer-than-normal conditions of a year ago are virtually normal as we approach the end of April and there is even a pocket of colder-than-normal water just off Africa’s west coast. The tropics are a critically important part of the world with respect to the total energy budget and cooling trends can certainly have an inhibiting impact on the upcoming tropical season.
Read MoreThe summer season is fast approaching, and probabilities are high that overall temperatures in the Arctic region will be nearly normal which happens to be right around the 32 degree (F) freezing mark. Chances are indeed high since this temperature pattern of nearly normal conditions during the summer months of June, July, and August has taken place virtually every year since the turn of the century. Meanwhile, the other nine months of the year in the Arctic region have featured above-normal temperatures in a pattern that too has also been very consistent in recent years.
It is the temperatures in the summer months of June, July, and August, however, which are the most important when it comes to Arctic sea ice extent as this is the melting season up in that part of the world. Arctic sea ice extent has been running at below-normal levels since the middle 1990’s; however, if temperatures again remain nearly normal during the summer (melting) season, the chance for any additional significant drop off will be limited. Indeed, given this consistent summertime temperature trend in recent years, Arctic sea ice has shown resiliency both in terms extent and in volume. One possible explanation of this persistent temperature pattern across the Arctic region featuring nearly normal summertime conditions and warmer-than-normal during the coldest nine months of the year is the increased levels of water vapor in the atmosphere.
Read MoreAfter the passage of a slow-moving upper-level low, somewhat drier air has filtered into the region and the threat of showers will be reduced for today and Thursday. Another system will head towards the Great Lakes later in the week and it’ll throw a couple of fronts into the eastern states from Friday into the weekend. As a result, there will be a renewed threat of showers and thunderstorms across northern Alabama in the Friday, Saturday, Sunday time frame to go along with very warm conditions.
Read MoreTropical moisture continues to flow up along the eastern seaboard and it is accompanied by a slow-moving upper-level low pressure system. The result here will be another couple of days with occasional showers and thunderstorms can get into the mix as well. After this upper-level low finally “opens up” and exits off to the north and east later in the week, there can be a lull in the action for a brief time. However, another low pressure system will head towards the Great Lakes by the end of the week and it will throw a couple of fronts our way between later Friday and Saturday night. As a result, there will be a renewed threat of showers and thunderstorms from later Friday into Saturday and then drier air should finally return to the region for Sunday and Monday.
Read MoreTropical moisture continues to flow up along the eastern seaboard and it is accompanied by a slow-moving upper-level low pressure system. The result here will be another couple of days with occasional showers and thunderstorms can get into the mix as well. After this upper-level low finally “opens up” and exits off to the north and east later in the week, there can be a lull in the action for a brief time. However, another low pressure system will head towards the Great Lakes by the end of the week and it will throw a couple of fronts our way between later Friday and Saturday night. As a result, there will be a renewed threat of showers and thunderstorms from later Friday into Saturday and then drier air should finally return to the region for Sunday and Monday.
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