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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | **Strong storm system to bring a soaking rain to the Mid-Atlantic region...a windy Halloween Day**

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern is setting up over the continental US featuring a deepening upper-level trough over the Tennessee Valley. This deepening low in the upper atmosphere will help to spawn a strong low pressure system at the surface-level which will then move in a northeasterly direction resulting in a soaking event for much of the Mid-Atlantic region from later today into later Thursday …1-3 inches on the table. The rain may linger for a bit on Friday morning in the northern Mid-Atlantic region, but the bulk of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature cool and very windy conditions with gusts possible to 40 mph or so to go along with partly sunny skies. The weekend is looking dry and cool with some sunshine on each day and highs likely in the mid-to-upper 50’s.

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***”Category 5” Hurricane Melissa reaches Jamaica with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph...to next pass over eastern Cuba, southeastern Bahamas, and then to Bermuda later this week***

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Melissa has reached the southwestern coast of Jamaica as a category 5 storm with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph. The hurricane has turned to the northeast and should continue on this path during the next few days with an accelerated motion. After hitting Jamaica, Hurricane Melissa will cross over eastern Cuba – likely as a major hurricane – and then to the southeastern part of the Bahama Island chain in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.  By late Thursday, Melissa could come very close to the island of Bermuda or move directly over as it picks up some forward speed and continues on a northeasterly direction...eventually bringing it out to the open waters of the North Atlantic by the upcoming weekend.

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6:00 AM | **Deep upper-level trough forms over the Tennessee Valley and brings unsettled weather to the area**

Paul Dorian

A deep upper-level trough will develop over the Tennessee Valley by mid-week bringing cool and unsettled weather to northern Alabama including the chance of showers from late tonight through Wednesday. It stays mainly cloudy on Thursday and on the cool side with lingering showers still possible during the AM hours. Milder and drier weather returns to the area by the end of the work week, and the weekend should feature mainly mild and dry conditions with partial sunshine each day.

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6:00 AM | **Melissa nearing Jamaica as a "cat 5"...soaking rain event on the way for the Mid-Atlantic from later tomorrow into Thursday night...cool and windy on Halloween Day with gusts to 40 mph**

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Melissa is nearing the island of Jamaica this morning as a category 5 storm (175 mph maximum sustained winds) and will produce as much as 30-50 inches of rain when all is said and done. The hurricane has turned from a westerly to a northeasterly direction in recent hours and it will begin to accelerate during the next couple of days. As such, Melissa is likely to cross over eastern Cuba later tonight - as a major hurricane - and then over the southeastern Bahama Islands on Wednesday. By later Thursday, Melissa is likely to move over or very close to the island of Bermuda - likely still as a hurricane - and then wind up over the open waters of the North Atlantic by the weekend.

Meanwhile, an active weather pattern is setting up over the continental US featuring a deepening upper-level trough over the Tennessee Valley. This strong low aloft will help to spawn a strong low pressure system at surface-level on Wednesday which will then move in a northeasterly direction resulting in a soaking event for much of the Mid-Atlantic region from later tomorrow into late Thursday…1-3 inches on the table. The rain may linger for a bit on Friday morning in the northern Mid-Atlantic region, but the bulk of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature cool and very windy conditions with gusts to 40 mph or so to go along with partly sunny skies. The weekend is looking dry and cool from this vantage point.

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6:00 AM | **Melissa nearing Jamaica as a "cat 5"...soaking rain event on the way for the Mid-Atlantic from later tomorrow into Thursday night...cool and windy on Halloween Day with gusts to 40 mph**

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Melissa is nearing the island of Jamaica this morning as a category 5 storm (175 mph maximum sustained winds) and will produce as much as 30-50 inches of rain when all is said and done. The hurricane has turned from a westerly to a northeasterly direction in recent hours and it will begin to accelerate during the next couple of days. As such, Melissa is likely to cross over eastern Cuba later tonight - as a major hurricane - and then over the southeastern Bahama Islands on Wednesday. By later Thursday, Melissa is likely to move over or very close to the island of Bermuda - likely still as a hurricane - and then wind up over the open waters of the North Atlantic by the weekend.

Meanwhile, an active weather pattern is setting up over the continental US featuring a deepening upper-level trough over the Tennessee Valley. This strong low aloft will help to spawn a strong low pressure system at surface-level on Wednesday which will then move in a northeasterly direction resulting in a soaking event for much of the Mid-Atlantic region from later tomorrow into Thursday night…1-3 inches on the table. The rain may linger for a bit on Friday morning in the northern Mid-Atlantic region, but the bulk of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature cool and very windy conditions with gusts to 40 mph or so to go along with partly sunny skies. The weekend is looking dry and cool from this vantage point.

Read More

6:00 AM | **Melissa nearing Jamaica as a "cat 5"...soaking rain event on the way for the Mid-Atlantic from later tomorrow into Thursday night...cool and windy on Halloween Day with gusts to 40 mph**

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Melissa is nearing the island of Jamaica this morning as a category 5 storm (175 mph maximum sustained winds) and will produce as much as 30-50 inches of rain when all is said and done. The hurricane has turned from a westerly to a northeasterly direction in recent hours and it will begin to accelerate during the next couple of days. As such, Melissa is likely to cross over eastern Cuba later tonight - as a major hurricane - and then over the southeastern Bahama Islands on Wednesday. By later Thursday, Melissa is likely to move over or very close to the island of Bermuda - likely still as a hurricane - and then wind up over the open waters of the North Atlantic by the weekend.

Meanwhile, an active weather pattern is setting up over the continental US featuring a deepening upper-level trough over the Tennessee Valley. This strong low aloft will help to spawn a strong low pressure system at surface-level on Wednesday which will then move in a northeasterly direction resulting in a soaking event for much of the Mid-Atlantic region from later tomorrow into Thursday night…1-3 inches on the table. The rain may linger for a bit on Friday morning in the northern Mid-Atlantic region, but the bulk of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature cool and very windy conditions with gusts to 40 mph or so to go along with partly sunny skies. The weekend is looking dry and cool from this vantage point.

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6:00 AM | **Much cooler today with a noticeable W-NW wind...a hard freeze late tonight with overnight lows well down in the 20's**

Paul Dorian

It turns much cooler today across the Denver metro area and the winds will be quite noticeable as well. Winds can gusts to 25 mph from a W-NW direction and afternoon temperatures will be confined to the lower 50’s for highs. With mainly clear skies tonight, temperatures will drop way down to the middle 20’s by morning...a hard freeze in most areas. The remainder of the work week remains on the cool side, but a warming trend ensues by the weekend.

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***"Cat 5" Hurricane Melissa nearing Jamaica...headed to eastern Cuba, southeast Bahamas...soaking rainfall on the way to the Mid-Atlantic from separate storm system...windy, cool for Halloween Day***

Paul Dorian

Melissa is now a category 5 “major” hurricane located just to the south of Jamaica and continues to drift to the west over some very warm water of the central Caribbean Sea. Hurricane Melissa will begin a gradual turn to the northwest and then north by later tonight and likely come ashore on Jamaica’s southern coast on Tuesday morning. After that, the hurricane will push in a northeasterly direction and pass over the eastern part of Cuba by early Wednesday – likely still as a major - and then likely the southeastern Bahama Islands by late Wednesday. By later Thursday, Melissa could come very close to the island of Bermuda as it picks up some forward speed and continues on a northeasterly direction...eventually bringing it out to the open waters of the North Atlantic.

Meanwhile, an active weather pattern over the continental US will feature a deepening upper-level trough by mid-week over the Tennessee Valley and this will help to spawn a strong surface-level storm system. This strong storm will likely produce a soaking event for the Mid-Atlantic region from later Wednesday through Thursday night with 2+ inches on the table, and onshore winds will be a noticeable factor as well. The rain may linger for a bit on Friday morning, but the bulk of Halloween Day should feature partial sunshine and quite windy and cool conditions. 

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7:00 AM | **Soaking rain event likely late Wednesday/Thursday...windy, cool Halloween Day (Friday)**

Paul Dorian

An area of high pressure to our north remains in control of the weather around here as we begin the new work week with today featuring cool conditions and a mix of sun and clouds. An active weather pattern will bring one storm system to the Carolinas from later tonight into Tuesday and its effects will generally stay to our south; however, a couple of showers cannot be ruled out later Tuesday night and early Wednesday. A second storm will then push northeast from the Tennessee Valley from later Wednesday into Thursday and it’ll likely produce a soaking rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region and the threat of rain can linger into early Friday. The rest of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature windy and cool conditions and a return to partly sunny skies.

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7:00 AM | **Soaking rain event likely late Wednesday/Thursday...windy, cool Halloween Day (Friday)**

Paul Dorian

An area of high pressure to our north remains in control of the weather around here as we begin the new work week with today featuring cool conditions and a mix of sun and clouds. An active weather pattern will bring one storm system to the Carolinas from later tonight into Tuesday and its effects will generally stay to our south; however, a few showers cannot be ruled out on Tuesday or Tuesday night. A second storm will then push northeast from the Tennessee Valley from later Wednesday into Thursday and it’ll likely produce a soaking rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region and the threat of rain can linger into early Friday. The rest of the day on Friday (Halloween Day) should feature windy and cool conditions and a return to partly sunny skies.

Read More