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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

9:30 AM (Friday) | *Hurricane “Delta” to make landfall early this evening in the southwestern part of Louisiana…remnants to bring significant rain to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley, Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” is currently a category 3 “major” hurricane on its way for a landfall in southwestern Louisiana early this evening. There is a chance for some weakening of Hurricane “Delta” in the last few hours before landfall – perhaps from a category 3 to a category 2 storm – as it will push over cooler waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico. After landfall, Hurricane “Delta” will weaken quickly; however, its remnants will bring some significant rainfall to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and as far north and east as the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into Monday.

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7:00 AM | *Hurricane "Delta" churning towards the southwestern part of Louisiana*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” is likely to make landfall late today in the southwestern part of Louisiana which is the same area that experienced a direct hit by Hurricane ‘Laura” back in mid-August. After Hurricane “Delta” makes landfall, it will weaken quickly and become increasingly influenced by a developing mid-level trough over the south-central US which should cause it to turn to the northeast and this will result in significant rainfall across the Deep South and Tennessee Valley. By the latter part of the weekend, the remains of Hurricane “Delta” are likely to result in a decent rainfall for the Mid-Atlantic region.

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10:45 AM (Thurs.) | *Hurricane “Delta” heading towards southwestern Louisiana with landfall likely late tomorrow…remnants to bring rain to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” pounded the northeastern part of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula yesterday morning and its encounter with the land mass weakened the tropical cyclone from a category 4 “major” storm to a category 1. Since then, Hurricane “Delta” has moved out over the warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico into an area with more favorable atmospheric conditions and has re-intensified into category 2 status with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. In this favorable environment with low vertical wind shear and deep moisture, Hurricane “Delta” could return to “major” hurricane status (i.e., category 3 or higher) as it churns towards a likely landfall late Friday in the southwestern part of Louisiana. After landfall, Hurricane “Delta” will weaken quickly, but its remnants will bring some significant rainfall to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and as far north and east as the Mid-Atlantic region by the Sunday/Monday time frame.

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7:00 AM | *Hurricane "Delta" headed towards the north-central Gulf coast*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” pounded the northeastern part of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula yesterday as a category 2 storm and has now pushed over the southern part of the Gulf of Mexico. After its bump into with the Yucatan Peninsula, Hurricane “Delta” is encountering favorable conditions for intensification as it churns northwest over the still warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico in an environment with low wind shear and high moisture content. As such, Hurricane “Delta” is likely to re-intensify into “major” hurricane status as it heads on a path towards the north-central Gulf coast - and perhaps right to the same region that experienced the landfall of Hurricane Laura earlier this tropical season. After landfall likely on Friday, the remains of Hurricane “Delta” are then likely to push to the north and east bringing significant rainfall to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and perhaps to the Mid-Atlantic region late in the upcoming weekend.

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2:30 PM (Wednesday) | *Hurricane “Delta” a major threat to the north-central Gulf coast after pounding the Yucatan Peninsula…remnants to bring rainfall to much of southern and eastern US*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” pounded the northeastern part of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula this morning as a category 2 storm and is now entering the southern part of the Gulf of Mexico. After its bump into with the Yucatan Peninsula, Hurricane “Delta” will encounter favorable conditions for intensification as it churns northwest over the still warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico in an environment with low wind shear and high moisture content. As such, Hurricane “Delta” is likely to re-intensify into “major” hurricane status as it heads on a path towards the north-central Gulf coast - and perhaps right to the same region that experienced the landfall of Hurricane Laura earlier this tropical season. After landfall likely on Friday, the remains of Hurricane “Delta” are then likely to push to the north and east bringing significant rainfall to the Deep South, Tennessee Valley and perhaps to the Mid-Atlantic region late in the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | **Hurricane "Delta" a major threat to the north-central Gulf coast**

Paul Dorian

During the past 24-36 hours, Hurricane “Delta” has undergone rapid intensification – the most extreme for an October tropical cyclone since “Wilma” in the super-charged year of 2005. Hurricane “Delta” is now pounding the northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico. After that, “Delta” may make a direct hit on the north-central Gulf coastal region (e.g., southwestern Louisiana) by late Friday or so and then take a turn to the north and east once inland with significant rainfall in the Deep South and Tennessee Valley – perhaps even bringing some late weekend rainfall all the way to the Mid-Atlantic region.

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9:45 AM (Tuesday) | *Hurricane “Delta” now a category 2 storm is on its way to “major” hurricane status…"Delta" is headed for Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula and then likely the north-central Gulf coast*

Paul Dorian

All systems are go for Hurricane “Delta” as it has undergone rapid intensification in the last 24 hours and will very likely reach at least category 4 “major” hurricane status over the next 12-24 hours. During the past 24 hours, Hurricane “Delta” has seen its maximum sustained winds increase by 70 mph – now at 110 mph – which represents the fastest October intensification of a tropical cyclone since “Wilma” of 2005. Hurricane “Delta” is headed towards the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico in coming days – very likely as a category 4+ storm. After that, “Delta” may make a direct impact on the north-central Gulf coastal region (e.g., southern Louisiana) by late Friday or so and then take a turn to the north and east once inland with significant rainfall in the Deep South and Tennessee Valley – perhaps even bringing some late weekend rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | *Hurricane "Delta" now a category 2 storm over the Caribbean Sea*

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Delta” is now a category 2 storm over the Caribbean Sea and is likely to have a direct impact on the northern Gulf region (e.g., Louisiana) by late Friday or so after skirting the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico. This system will remain over the still very warm waters of the Caribbean Sea and then Gulf of Mexico for much of the time in coming days and may reach “major” hurricane status. Once it makes landfall in the northern Gulf, “Delta” remains are likely to push north and east over the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Comfortable pattern continues through the weekend*

Paul Dorian

The month of October began with very pleasant conditions in northern Alabama and throughout the Tennessee Valley. The passage of another cold front served to bring us a shot of cool, dry air as we closed out the work week and it’ll stay quite comfortable right through the upcoming weekend. Sunshine is likely on both weekend days and highs will be close to 70 degrees on Saturday and 75 degrees on Sunday.

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7:00 AM | *October begins with a very comfortable weather pattern in the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

The month of September closed out with nice weather and the new month will begin with very pleasant conditions in northern Alabama. The passage of another cold front will serve to bring in a shot of cool, dry air as we close out the work week. In fact, it’ll turn cooler on Friday compared to today with highs confined to the mid 60’s in the Tennessee Valley. The comfortable weather pattern will continue through the weekend with sunshine likely on both days and highs within a few degrees of the 70 degree mark.

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