Just when most people desire the sustained warmth that spring can offer this time of year, the unfolding weather pattern says not quite yet – at least not for much of the central and eastern US. Not only is a chilly air mass coming for later this week, it appears there may be multiple cold air outbreaks for the central and eastern US as we progress through the remainder of the month of April. In addition to the chill, a late week nor’easter can bring accumulating snow to interior, higher elevations of the Northeast US as winter is simply not going away without a fight.
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To quote T.S Eliot…“April is the cruelest month”. Just when most desire the sustained warmth of spring, the weather pattern in the Northeast US can take a nasty turn and that unwelcome change is now unfolding as we approach the middle of the month. Last week featured some extreme cold in Alaska where some of the lowest temperatures ever for April were experienced and there was some very cold air in Europe as well. All of this took place while much of the US enjoyed generally warm and dry weather from coast-to-coast. That enjoyable pattern is certainly going away for the northeastern quadrant of the nation where below-normal temperatures may be the theme through the remainder of the month of April.
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Soaking rain is headed to the Mid-Atlantic region for later today, tonight and early Thursday and it will be followed by an impressive cold blast for the beginning of the month of April. Temperatures will drop sharply late tonight/early tomorrow following the passage of a strong cold front and winds will become increasingly strong from a northwesterly direction. This cold air outbreak will result in accumulating snow on Thursday across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US from West Virginia to northern New England and some snow can actually fall all the way down into the immediate I-95 corridor. Temperatures late tomorrow night and again late Friday night are likely to fall to or just below the freezing mark in many spots, but the unusual chill will ease during the upcoming Easter weekend. One final note, tomorrow is Opening Day for Major League Baseball in many Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US locations…if attending one of these games, better bring a winter coat.
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Another soaking rain event is headed to the region extending from the Tennessee Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and it will be followed by an impressive cold blast for the beginning of April. The soaking rain will push northeastward on Wednesday from the Tennessee Valley into the Mid-Atlantic; primarily, for the afternoon and nighttime hours. All of this activity will take place just ahead of a strong cold front which will usher in much colder air for Thursday and Friday and there can even be some accumulating snow when it arrives; primarily, across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US.
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It has been a long time since fans have actually attended Major League Baseball (MLB) games and that ritual will resume this coming Thursday, April 1st, which is Opening Day for many teams. Unfortunately, the weather may be an issue in such places as the Upper Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US - as is often the case early in the season - with an impressive cold blast likely to arrive just in time to chill those fans planning to attend games on Thursday. There is even the chance for some snow across interior sections of this part of the country on Thursday and strong NW winds will no doubt make it quite uncomfortable for fans that return to MLB ballparks for the first time since the 2019 season.
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A very active weather pattern for the eastern half of the nation during the next few days which will include the first significant severe weather outbreak of the season, the first soaking rain event in weeks across the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US, and a changeover of rain-to-accumulating snow in many areas. Severe thunderstorms later today and tonight in the Deep South/Tennessee Valley will be capable of producing torrential rainfall, large hail, damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. A particularly dangerous situation is likely to develop later today in the Mississippi/Alabama region where numerous ingredients are coming together for high probabilities of severe weather. The severe weather threat will shift eastward to the Carolinas and Virginia on Thursday and continue into early Friday. The same storm system that will be contributing to the severe weather outbreak will result in a soaking rain event for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US on Thursday and Thursday night – the first significant rainfall in weeks in many of those locations. As colder air wraps into the low pressure system later tomorrow night, rain will change to snow in a northwest-to-southeast fashion and there can be snow all the way down into the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor by early Friday.
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It has been an unusually dry month of March so far in the Mid-Atlantic region with zero precipitation reported in DC, Philly and NYC. The impact of the dry spell has actually been made worse with an extremely dry air mass in recent days featuring abnormally low dew point temperatures of below zero – indicative of very low moisture content in the atmosphere. Strong low pressure will bring this dry stretch to an abrupt end later in the week with significant precipitation from Thursday into Friday. The rain that falls on Thursday and Thursday night in the Mid-Atlantic region can be moderate-to-heavy at times and there is a chance that it changes briefly to snow on Friday as colder air wraps into the system.
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It is now the middle of March and the spring equinox is less than a week away, but winter is still hanging on in many portions of the nation. There are actually two chances of frozen precipitation this week in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US and the past couple of days has seen a blockbuster snowstorm in the Rockies that indeed turned out be one of the all-time greats in places like Denver, Colorado and Cheyenne, Wyoming.
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It is not too unusual for big snowstorms this time of year across the Rocky Mountain States, but this weekend event has the potential to be an historic blockbuster. The threat for significant snow during this long duration event will stretch from Colorado and Wyoming to the western sections of Nebraska and South Dakota. While these numbers are still subject to change, the potential exists for 1-3 feet of snow in the Denver-to-Cheyenne corridor and even more than that in the higher elevations to the west.
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A strong and cold Canadian high pressure system will dominate the weather scene over the next few days in much of the northeastern quadrant of the nation including the Mid-Atlantic region. The days will feature colder-than-normal temperatures for early March and persistent NW winds will make it feel even colder than the actual ambient air temperature. Once this high pressure system shifts off the east coast early next week, a strong southwesterly flow of air will set up on its backside and begin a significant warm up in the central US on Sunday/Monday which will then expand into the eastern states on Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday.
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